Abrdn Emerging Markets Stock Price Prediction

AEF Stock  USD 5.32  0.02  0.37%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Abrdn Emerging's share price is above 70 as of 21st of July 2024. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Abrdn, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

71

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Abrdn Emerging's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Abrdn Emerging and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Abrdn Emerging's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Abrdn Emerging Markets, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Abrdn Emerging's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
4.244
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.35)
Using Abrdn Emerging hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Abrdn Emerging Markets from the perspective of Abrdn Emerging response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Abrdn Emerging to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Abrdn because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Abrdn Emerging after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 5.32  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Abrdn Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Abrdn Emerging's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.705.516.32
Details

Abrdn Emerging After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Abrdn Emerging at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Abrdn Emerging or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Abrdn Emerging, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Abrdn Emerging Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Abrdn Emerging's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Abrdn Emerging's historical news coverage. Abrdn Emerging's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.51 and 6.13, respectively. We have considered Abrdn Emerging's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
5.32
5.32
After-hype Price
6.13
Upside
Abrdn Emerging is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Abrdn Emerging Markets is based on 3 months time horizon.

Abrdn Emerging Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Abrdn Emerging is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Abrdn Emerging backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Abrdn Emerging, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
0.81
 0.00  
 0.00  
6 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.32
5.32
0.00 
8,100  
Notes

Abrdn Emerging Hype Timeline

On the 21st of July Abrdn Emerging Markets is traded for 5.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Abrdn is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Abrdn Emerging is about 12960.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.32. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.83. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Abrdn Emerging Markets last dividend was issued on the 21st of June 2024. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of July 1995. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Abrdn Emerging Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Abrdn Emerging Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Abrdn Emerging's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Abrdn Emerging's future price movements. Getting to know how Abrdn Emerging's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Abrdn Emerging may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
YRDYirendai(0.09)9 per month 2.52 (0.02) 3.75 (4.46) 11.52 
LXLexinfintech Holdings 0.04 5 per month 1.62  0.03  2.62 (2.35) 9.95 
LULufax Holding 0.16 9 per month 3.61  0.14  9.85 (5.63) 30.70 
DXFDunxin Financial Holdings(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.05) 8.70 (11.54) 87.17 
XYFX Financial Class 0.18 7 per month 1.69  0.07  3.95 (2.91) 9.67 
COSGCosmos Group Holdings 0.00 0 per month 15.89  0.17  100.00 (50.00) 150.00 
LMFALM Funding America(0.06)8 per month 6.17  0.13  14.74 (11.95) 47.90 
NISNNisun International Enterprise(0.27)5 per month 7.64  0.09  20.64 (12.33) 64.33 

Abrdn Emerging Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Abrdn price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Abrdn using various technical indicators. When you analyze Abrdn charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Abrdn Emerging Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Abrdn Emerging stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Abrdn Emerging Markets, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abrdn Emerging based on analysis of Abrdn Emerging hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Abrdn Emerging's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Abrdn Emerging's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover0.690.750.650.62
Days Of Inventory On Hand297.0442.17508.5490.38

Story Coverage note for Abrdn Emerging

The number of cover stories for Abrdn Emerging depends on current market conditions and Abrdn Emerging's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Abrdn Emerging is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Abrdn Emerging's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Abrdn Emerging Short Properties

Abrdn Emerging's future price predictability will typically decrease when Abrdn Emerging's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Abrdn Emerging Markets often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Abrdn Emerging's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Abrdn Emerging's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding50.8 M
Dividends Paid19.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.3 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate0.4

Complementary Tools for Abrdn Stock analysis

When running Abrdn Emerging's price analysis, check to measure Abrdn Emerging's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abrdn Emerging is operating at the current time. Most of Abrdn Emerging's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abrdn Emerging's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abrdn Emerging's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abrdn Emerging to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
FinTech Suite
Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities
Competition Analyzer
Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities
Efficient Frontier
Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market.
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk