Advanced Energy Industries Stock Price Prediction

AEIS Stock  USD 108.75  0.57  0.52%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Advanced Energy's share price is at 50. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Advanced Energy, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Advanced Energy's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Advanced Energy and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Advanced Energy's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Advanced Energy Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Advanced Energy's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.83)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.72
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.33
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.41
Wall Street Target Price
109.57
Using Advanced Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Advanced Energy Industries from the perspective of Advanced Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Advanced Energy using Advanced Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Advanced using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Advanced Energy's stock price.

Advanced Energy Short Interest

An investor who is long Advanced Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Advanced Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Advanced Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
100.5593
Short Percent
0.113
Short Ratio
12.66
Shares Short Prior Month
2.6 M
50 Day MA
102.3706

Advanced Energy Indu Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Advanced Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Advanced. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Advanced can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Advanced Energy Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Advanced Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Advanced Energy.

Advanced Energy Implied Volatility

    
  34.6  
Advanced Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Advanced Energy Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Advanced Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Advanced Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Advanced Energy's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Advanced Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Advanced because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Advanced Energy after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 108.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Advanced contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Advanced Energy Industries will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.16% per day over the life of the 2024-07-19 option contract. With Advanced Energy trading at USD 108.75, that is roughly USD 2.35 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Advanced Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Advanced Energy Industries options at the current volatility level of 34.6%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Advanced Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advanced Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
97.88123.65125.43
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
113.23124.43138.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.630.720.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Advanced Energy. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Advanced Energy's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Advanced Energy's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Advanced Energy Indu.

Advanced Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Advanced Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Advanced Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Advanced Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Advanced Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Advanced Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Advanced Energy's historical news coverage. Advanced Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 106.75 and 110.31, respectively. We have considered Advanced Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
108.75
106.75
Downside
108.53
After-hype Price
110.31
Upside
Advanced Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Advanced Energy Indu is based on 3 months time horizon.

Advanced Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Advanced Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Advanced Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Advanced Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.78
  0.22 
  0.08 
10 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
108.75
108.53
0.20 
98.34  
Notes

Advanced Energy Hype Timeline

Advanced Energy Indu is presently traded for 108.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Advanced is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 108.53. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 98.34%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Advanced Energy is about 265.11%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 108.67. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Advanced Energy was presently reported as 30.53. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. Advanced Energy Indu last dividend was issued on the 23rd of May 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Advanced Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Advanced Energy Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Advanced Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Advanced Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Advanced Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Advanced Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Advanced Energy Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Advanced price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Advanced using various technical indicators. When you analyze Advanced charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Advanced Energy Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Advanced Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Advanced Energy Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Advanced Energy based on analysis of Advanced Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Advanced Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Advanced Energy's related companies.
 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0047310.0037290.004726
Price To Sales Ratio1.742.472.76

Story Coverage note for Advanced Energy

The number of cover stories for Advanced Energy depends on current market conditions and Advanced Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Advanced Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Advanced Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Advanced Energy Short Properties

Advanced Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Advanced Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Advanced Energy Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Advanced Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Advanced Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.8 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB

Additional Tools for Advanced Stock Analysis

When running Advanced Energy's price analysis, check to measure Advanced Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Advanced Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Advanced Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Advanced Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Advanced Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Advanced Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.