Air France Klm Stock Price Prediction
| AFLYY Stock | USD 1.07 0.05 4.46% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Air France KLM stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Air France shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Air France's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Air France and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Air France's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Air France KLM, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Air France based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Air stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Air France over a specific investment horizon. Using Air France hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air France KLM from the perspective of Air France response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Air France. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air France to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Air France after-hype prediction price | USD 1.07 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Air |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air France's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Air France After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Air France at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air France or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Air France, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Air France Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Air France's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air France's historical news coverage. Air France's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.05 and 3.50, respectively. We have considered Air France's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Air France is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air France KLM is based on 3 months time horizon.
Air France Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Air France is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air France backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air France, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.43 | 0.00 | 1.27 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.07 | 1.07 | 0.00 |
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Air France Hype Timeline
Air France KLM is presently traded for 1.07. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -1.27. Air is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Air France is about 70.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of -0.2. The company recorded a loss per share of 4.28. Air France KLM last dividend was issued on the 29th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Air France Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Air France Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Air France's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air France's future price movements. Getting to know how Air France's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air France may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EVTL | Vertical Aerospace | 0.03 | 7 per month | 5.05 | 0.06 | 10.00 | (9.48) | 44.55 | |
| RLLCF | Rolls Royce Holdings plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 6.52 | (6.38) | 20.77 | |
| ERJ | Embraer SA ADR | (0.17) | 9 per month | 1.30 | 0.18 | 6.77 | (2.82) | 13.27 | |
| RKLB | Rocket Lab USA | (0.1) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 4.67 | (5.15) | 22.44 | |
| TDG | Transdigm Group Incorporated | (37.68) | 11 per month | 0.88 | 0.12 | 2.46 | (1.43) | 4.85 | |
| LHX | L3Harris Technologies | (1.76) | 9 per month | 0.88 | (0.07) | 1.67 | (1.51) | 5.06 | |
| HII | Huntington Ingalls Industries | 1.35 | 11 per month | 0.82 | 0.03 | 1.67 | (1.33) | 7.00 | |
| AVAV | AeroVironment | 1.20 | 11 per month | 1.91 | 0.09 | 3.77 | (3.33) | 34.38 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | 0.53 | 8 per month | 1.49 | 0.08 | 3.10 | (2.36) | 12.62 | |
| CW | Curtiss Wright | 2.29 | 9 per month | 0.57 | 0.10 | 1.39 | (1.20) | 4.29 |
Air France Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Air France Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Air France stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air France KLM, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air France based on analysis of Air France hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air France's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air France's related companies. Story Coverage note for Air France
The number of cover stories for Air France depends on current market conditions and Air France's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air France is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air France's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Air France Short Properties
Air France's future price predictability will typically decrease when Air France's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air France KLM often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air France's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air France's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 578.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.8 B |
Check out Air France Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for Air Pink Sheet analysis
When running Air France's price analysis, check to measure Air France's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air France is operating at the current time. Most of Air France's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air France's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air France's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air France to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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