Agnc Investment Corp Preferred Stock Price Prediction

AGNCO Preferred Stock  USD 24.06  0.60  2.43%   
As of today, The relative strength momentum indicator of AGNC Investment's share price is at 56. This suggests that the preferred stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AGNC Investment, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

56

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
AGNC Investment Corp preferred stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AGNC Investment shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AGNC Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AGNC Investment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AGNC Investment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AGNC Investment Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether preferred stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AGNC Investment based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AGNC stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AGNC Investment over a specific investment horizon. Using AGNC Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGNC Investment Corp from the perspective of AGNC Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AGNC Investment. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AGNC Investment to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AGNC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AGNC Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 24.06  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out AGNC Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AGNC Investment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
23.4624.0224.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
23.8824.4425.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24.0524.6025.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AGNC Investment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AGNC Investment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AGNC Investment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AGNC Investment Corp.

AGNC Investment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AGNC Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGNC Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of AGNC Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AGNC Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AGNC Investment's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AGNC Investment's historical news coverage. AGNC Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 23.50 and 24.62, respectively. We have considered AGNC Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
24.06
24.06
After-hype Price
24.62
Upside
AGNC Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AGNC Investment Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

AGNC Investment Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AGNC Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGNC Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGNC Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.06 
0.56
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
24.06
24.06
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

AGNC Investment Hype Timeline

AGNC Investment Corp is presently traded for 24.06. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. AGNC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on AGNC Investment is about 539.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.05. About 27.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.86. AGNC Investment Corp last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out AGNC Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

AGNC Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AGNC Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGNC Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how AGNC Investment rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGNC Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AGNC Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AGNC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGNC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGNC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AGNC Investment Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AGNC Investment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AGNC Investment Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AGNC Investment based on analysis of AGNC Investment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AGNC Investment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AGNC Investment's related companies.

Story Coverage note for AGNC Investment

The number of cover stories for AGNC Investment depends on current market conditions and AGNC Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AGNC Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AGNC Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

AGNC Investment Short Properties

AGNC Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when AGNC Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AGNC Investment Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AGNC Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGNC Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding574.6 M
Dividend Yield0.0732
Short Percent0.001
Check out AGNC Investment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the AGNC Investment Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AGNC Investment's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

Complementary Tools for AGNC Preferred Stock analysis

When running AGNC Investment's price analysis, check to measure AGNC Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGNC Investment is operating at the current time. Most of AGNC Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGNC Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGNC Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGNC Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between AGNC Investment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AGNC Investment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AGNC Investment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.