Active Health Foods Stock Price Prediction
| AHFD Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Active Health Foods stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Active Health shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Active Health's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Active Health and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Active Health's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Active Health Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Active Health based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Active stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Active Health over a specific investment horizon. Using Active Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Active Health Foods from the perspective of Active Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Active Health. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Active Health to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Active because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Active Health after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Active |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Active Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Active Health After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Active Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Active Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Active Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Active Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Active Health's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Active Health's historical news coverage. Active Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Active Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Active Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Active Health Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Active Health Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Active Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Active Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Active Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Active Health Hype Timeline
Active Health Foods is presently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Active is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Active Health is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Active Health Foods had 1:1000 split on the 30th of December 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Active Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Active Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Active Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Active Health's future price movements. Getting to know how Active Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Active Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MRK | Merck Company | (1.50) | 8 per month | 0.65 | 0.02 | 1.18 | (0.98) | 6.92 | |
| CVX | Chevron Corp | (1.02) | 9 per month | 0.74 | 0.12 | 1.99 | (1.79) | 5.97 | |
| MX | MagnaChip Semiconductor | (0.03) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 2.61 | (3.61) | 18.08 |
Active Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Active price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Active using various technical indicators. When you analyze Active charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Active Health Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Active Health stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Active Health Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Active Health based on analysis of Active Health hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Active Health's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Active Health's related companies. Story Coverage note for Active Health
The number of cover stories for Active Health depends on current market conditions and Active Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Active Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Active Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Active Health Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Active Health Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Active Health's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Active Pink Sheet analysis
When running Active Health's price analysis, check to measure Active Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Active Health is operating at the current time. Most of Active Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Active Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Active Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Active Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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