Income Mutual Fund Price Prediction Breakdown

AMEFX -  USA Fund  

USD 25.84  0.11  0.42%

Income Fund fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Income Fund shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Income Fund's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Income Fund and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Income Fund's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Income Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Income Fund Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Income Fund based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Income price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Income Fund over a specific investment horizon. Using Income Fund hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Income Fund from the perspective of Income Fund response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Income Fund. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Income Fund to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Income because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Income Fund after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 25.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Income Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Income Fund in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
25.4825.9326.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
25.3025.7626.21
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
25.7625.8625.96
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Income Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Income Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Income Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Income Fund.

Income Fund After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Income Fund at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Income Fund or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Income Fund, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Income Fund Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Income Fund's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Income Fund's historical news coverage. Income Fund's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.50 and 26.40, respectively. We have considered Income Fund's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
25.84
19th of September 2021
25.95
After-hype Price
26.40
Upside
Income Fund is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Income Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

Income Fund Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Income Fund is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Income Fund backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Income Fund, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.01  0.45  0.00   0.00  1 Events / Month0 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
25.8425.950.00 
2,250  

Income Fund Hype Timeline

Income Fund is presently traded for 25.84. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Income forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Income Fund is about 900.0%. The volatility of related hype on Income Fund is about 900.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 25.84. The company next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 16th of March 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be very soon.
Please continue to Income Fund Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Income Fund Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Income Fund's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Income Fund's future price movements. Getting to know how Income Fund rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Income Fund may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
American Funds Growth(0.05) 1 per month 0.42  0.0161  0.94 (0.69)  2.34 

Income Fund Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Income price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Income using various technical indicators. When you analyze Income charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Income Fund Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Income Fund stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as The Income Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Income Fund based on analysis of Income Fund hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Income Fund's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Income Fund's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Income Fund

The number of cover stories for Income Fund depends on current market conditions and Income Fund's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Income Fund is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Income Fund's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Please continue to Income Fund Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Income Fund information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Income Fund's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.

Complementary Tools for Income Mutual Fund analysis

When running Income Fund price analysis, check to measure Income Fund's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Income Fund is operating at the current time. Most of Income Fund's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Income Fund's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Income Fund's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Income Fund to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Income Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Income Fund value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Income Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.