American High Income Municipal Fund Price Prediction

AMHIX Fund  USD 15.23  0.01  0.07%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of American High's the mutual fund price is slightly above 64. This suggests that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling American, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of American High's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American High Income Municipal, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using American High hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American High Income Municipal from the perspective of American High response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American High to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American High after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 15.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out American High Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.9415.1715.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.1815.4115.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.2215.2315.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American High. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American High's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American High's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American High Income.

American High After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American High at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American High or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of American High, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American High Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American High's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American High's historical news coverage. American High's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.00 and 15.46, respectively. We have considered American High's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
15.23
15.23
After-hype Price
15.46
Upside
American High is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American High Income is based on 3 months time horizon.

American High Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as American High is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American High backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American High, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
0.23
 0.00  
  0.08 
2 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.23
15.23
0.00 
2,300  
Notes

American High Hype Timeline

American High Income is presently traded for 15.23. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.08. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on American High is about 8.45%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 15.31. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out American High Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American High Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American High's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American High's future price movements. Getting to know how American High's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American High may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMECXIncome Fund Of(0.09)2 per month 0.52  0.07  0.75 (1.10) 2.09 
RNEBXNew World Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.63  0.06  1.04 (1.06) 2.91 
AMFCXAmerican Mutual Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.52  0.07  0.99 (1.10) 2.60 
AMFFXAmerican Mutual Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.51  0.08  1.00 (1.09) 2.61 
RNCCXAmerican Funds Income 0.00 0 per month 0.39  0.09  0.63 (0.77) 2.18 
FPPPXAmerican Funds Preservation 0.00 0 per month 0.11  0.09  0.22 (0.22) 0.86 
AMEFXIncome Fund Of 27.38 1 per month 0.51  0.05  0.75 (1.06) 2.10 
RNGFXNew Economy Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.67  0.11  1.58 (1.48) 3.49 
RNGHXNew Economy Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.11  1.59 (1.47) 3.49 
RNGBXNew Economy Fund(0.06)1 per month 0.66  0.11  1.57 (1.50) 3.47 

American High Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American High Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American High stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American High Income Municipal, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American High based on analysis of American High hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American High's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American High's related companies.

Story Coverage note for American High

The number of cover stories for American High depends on current market conditions and American High's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American High is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American High's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in American Mutual Fund

American High financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American High security.
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