Amer Superconductor Stock Future Price Prediction

AMSC -  USA Stock  

USD 14.05  0.55  4.07%

Amer Superconductor stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Amer Superconductor shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Amer Superconductor's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Amer Superconductor and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Amer Superconductor's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amer Superconductor, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Amer Superconductor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Amer Superconductor based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Amer Superconductor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Amer Superconductor over a specific investment horizon. Using Amer Superconductor hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amer Superconductor from the perspective of Amer Superconductor response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Amer Superconductor Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Long Term Debt to Equity was at 0.0188. The current year Calculated Tax Rate is expected to grow to 33.44, whereas Accrued Expenses Turnover is forecasted to decline to 7.33.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Amer Superconductor. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amer Superconductor to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amer Superconductor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Amer Superconductor after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 14.91  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amer Superconductor's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Amer Superconductor in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
12.6518.2321.88
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0024.6730.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.74-0.65-0.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Amer Superconductor. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Amer Superconductor's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Amer Superconductor's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Amer Superconductor.

Amer Superconductor After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Amer Superconductor at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amer Superconductor or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Amer Superconductor, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Amer Superconductor Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Amer Superconductor's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amer Superconductor's historical news coverage. Amer Superconductor's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.26 and 18.56, respectively. We have considered Amer Superconductor's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.05
4th of August 2021
14.91
After-hype Price
18.56
Upside
Amer Superconductor is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amer Superconductor is based on 1 month time horizon.

Amer Superconductor Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Amer Superconductor is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amer Superconductor backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amer Superconductor, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.18  3.65  0.86   0.51  6 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.0514.916.12 
500.00  

Amer Superconductor Hype Timeline

Amer Superconductor is presently traded for 14.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.86 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.51. Amer Superconductor is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 14.91 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is forecasted to be 6.12% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.18%. The volatility of related hype on Amer Superconductor is about 842.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 14.56. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (26.03) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of (21.57) %, which suggests for every $100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating loss of -0.22. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Please continue to Amer Superconductor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Amer Superconductor Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Amer Superconductor's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amer Superconductor's future price movements. Getting to know how Amer Superconductor rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amer Superconductor may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Barnes Group 0.42 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.79 (1.83)  6.10 
Crane Company 1.50 8 per month 1.55  0.09  4.04 (2.55)  6.29 
Curtiss-Wright Corp(0.75) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0286)  2.40 (3.01)  5.67 
Hillenbrand 0.21 7 per month 1.36  0.0373  2.58 (2.06)  5.96 
Ingersoll Rand 0.58 8 per month 1.61  0.0383  2.69 (2.21)  6.29 
Actuant Corp(0.16) 4 per month 0.00 (0.18)  2.93 (2.34)  5.97 
Franklin Electric 1.49 9 per month 1.28  0.05  1.93 (1.81)  5.82 
SPX Flow 0.34 8 per month 0.00  0.24  8.70 (1.59)  23.18 
Amtek Inc 0.27 7 per month 1.01  0.08  1.83 (1.66)  4.16 

Amer Superconductor Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Amer Superconductor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amer Superconductor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amer Superconductor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Amer Superconductor Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Amer Superconductor stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amer Superconductor, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amer Superconductor based on analysis of Amer Superconductor hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amer Superconductor's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amer Superconductor's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Calculated Tax Rate22.2233.44
Long Term Debt to Equity0.01880.0193

Story Coverage note for Amer Superconductor

The number of cover stories for Amer Superconductor depends on current market conditions and Amer Superconductor's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amer Superconductor is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amer Superconductor's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Amer Superconductor Short Properties

Amer Superconductor's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amer Superconductor's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amer Superconductor often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amer Superconductor's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amer Superconductor's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out5.27%
Short Percent Of Float5.49%
Float Shares25.06M
Shares Short Prior Month1.35M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day253.17k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month422.11k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Please continue to Amer Superconductor Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Amer Superconductor information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Amer Superconductor's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.

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When running Amer Superconductor price analysis, check to measure Amer Superconductor's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amer Superconductor is operating at the current time. Most of Amer Superconductor's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amer Superconductor's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amer Superconductor's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amer Superconductor to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Amer Superconductor is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amer Superconductor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amer Superconductor's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amer Superconductor's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amer Superconductor's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amer Superconductor underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amer Superconductor's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Amer Superconductor value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amer Superconductor's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.