Applied Dna Sciences Stock Price Prediction
| APDN Stock | USD 4.37 0.63 12.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Applied DNA Sciences stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Applied DNA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Applied DNA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Applied DNA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Applied DNA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Applied DNA Sciences, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Applied DNA's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.22) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.65) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.53) | Wall Street Target Price 2.25 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.31) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Applied DNA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Applied stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Applied DNA over a specific investment horizon. Using Applied DNA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Applied DNA Sciences from the perspective of Applied DNA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Applied DNA using Applied DNA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Applied using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Applied DNA's stock price.
Applied DNA Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Applied DNA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Applied DNA Sciences stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Applied DNA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Applied DNA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Applied DNA's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Applied DNA. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Applied DNA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Applied because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Applied DNA after-hype prediction price | USD 5.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Applied |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Applied DNA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Applied DNA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Applied DNA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Applied DNA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Applied DNA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Applied DNA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Applied DNA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Applied DNA's historical news coverage. Applied DNA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.28 and 11.63, respectively. We have considered Applied DNA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Applied DNA is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Applied DNA Sciences is based on 3 months time horizon.
Applied DNA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Applied DNA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Applied DNA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Applied DNA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.23 | 5.94 | 1.32 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.37 | 5.69 | 30.21 |
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Applied DNA Hype Timeline
Applied DNA Sciences is presently traded for 4.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.32, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Applied is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 5.69 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 52.94%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 30.21%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.23%. The volatility of related hype on Applied DNA is about 54000.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.36. The company currently holds 1.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.15, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Applied DNA Sciences has a current ratio of 2.12, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Applied DNA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Applied DNA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Applied DNA Sciences sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Applied to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Applied DNA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Applied DNA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Applied DNA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Applied DNA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Applied DNA's future price movements. Getting to know how Applied DNA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Applied DNA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BDSX | BiodesixInc | 0.03 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.35 | (7.10) | 17.41 | |
| DRIO | DarioHealth Corp | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.69 | (10.14) | 43.04 | |
| OLK | Olink Holding AB | (0.17) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.26 | (1.80) | 8.72 | |
| XGN | Exagen Inc | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 8.45 | (6.52) | 32.68 | |
| BNR | Burning Rock BiotechLtd | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 5.26 | (8.05) | 24.10 | |
| STIM | Neuronetics | (0.09) | 7 per month | 4.21 | 0.02 | 11.35 | (7.31) | 31.45 | |
| SERA | Sera Prognostics | 0.68 | 9 per month | 3.96 | 0.20 | 7.95 | (4.69) | 29.16 | |
| OCX | OncoCyte Corp | (0.49) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.53 | (6.23) | 15.77 | |
| PSNL | Personalis | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.00 | (7.35) | 24.49 | |
| ISPC | iSpecimen | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 9.30 | (11.76) | 130.95 |
Applied DNA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Applied price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Applied using various technical indicators. When you analyze Applied charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Applied DNA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Applied DNA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Applied DNA Sciences, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Applied DNA based on analysis of Applied DNA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Applied DNA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Applied DNA's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Payables Turnover | 7.52 | 7.31 | 6.58 | 6.9 | Days Of Inventory On Hand | 16.76 | 15.38 | 17.68 | 16.8 |
Story Coverage note for Applied DNA
The number of cover stories for Applied DNA depends on current market conditions and Applied DNA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Applied DNA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Applied DNA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Applied DNA Short Properties
Applied DNA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Applied DNA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Applied DNA Sciences often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Applied DNA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Applied DNA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.2 M |
Check out Applied DNA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Applied DNA Sciences information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Applied DNA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Applied Stock analysis
When running Applied DNA's price analysis, check to measure Applied DNA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Applied DNA is operating at the current time. Most of Applied DNA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Applied DNA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Applied DNA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Applied DNA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Applied DNA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Applied DNA. If investors know Applied will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Applied DNA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (11.00) | Revenue Per Share 0.678 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.83) | Return On Assets (0.56) | Return On Equity (1.10) |
The market value of Applied DNA Sciences is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Applied that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Applied DNA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Applied DNA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Applied DNA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Applied DNA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Applied DNA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Applied DNA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Applied DNA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.