Aquabounty Technologies Stock Price Prediction

AQB Stock  USD 1.75  0.01  0.57%   
At the present time, the RSI of AquaBounty Technologies' share price is approaching 36. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AquaBounty Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

36

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
AquaBounty Technologies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AquaBounty Technologies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AquaBounty Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AquaBounty Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AquaBounty Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AquaBounty Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AquaBounty Technologies' stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(1.40)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(4.53)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(3.10)
Wall Street Target Price
3
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(1.52)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AquaBounty Technologies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AquaBounty stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AquaBounty Technologies over a specific investment horizon. Using AquaBounty Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AquaBounty Technologies from the perspective of AquaBounty Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AquaBounty Technologies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AquaBounty Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AquaBounty because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AquaBounty Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.76  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out AquaBounty Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade AquaBounty Stock refer to our How to Trade AquaBounty Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AquaBounty Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.586.6510.05
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.031.735.14
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
19.7221.6724.05
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.42-1.4-1.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AquaBounty Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AquaBounty Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AquaBounty Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AquaBounty Technologies.

AquaBounty Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AquaBounty Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AquaBounty Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AquaBounty Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AquaBounty Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AquaBounty Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AquaBounty Technologies' historical news coverage. AquaBounty Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 5.16, respectively. We have considered AquaBounty Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
1.75
1.76
After-hype Price
5.16
Upside
AquaBounty Technologies is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AquaBounty Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

AquaBounty Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AquaBounty Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AquaBounty Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AquaBounty Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
3.40
  0.01 
 0.00  
10 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.75
1.76
0.57 
17,000  
Notes

AquaBounty Technologies Hype Timeline

On the 19th of April AquaBounty Technologies is traded for 1.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AquaBounty is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.44%. The volatility of related hype on AquaBounty Technologies is about 30276.05%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.75. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.47 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (27.56 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (10.49 M). Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out AquaBounty Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade AquaBounty Stock refer to our How to Trade AquaBounty Stock guide.

AquaBounty Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AquaBounty Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AquaBounty Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how AquaBounty Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AquaBounty Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AASZFAtlantic Sapphire ASA 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 17.15 (16.67) 49.01 
AGROAdecoagro SA 0.23 8 per month 2.04 (0) 2.35 (3.41) 12.46 
LOCLLocal Bounti Corp 0.12 6 per month 4.74  0.1  6.47 (8.33) 19.88 
AGRIWAgriFORCE Growing Systems(0.01)4 per month 20.56  0.18  96.72 (47.59) 207.13 
AFRIForafric Global PLC(0.08)2 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.06 (1.52) 3.15 
ASAGFAustralian Agricultural 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.01 (3.00) 6.49 
AAGRYAstra Agro Lestari 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
AFRIWForafric Global PLC 0.02 1 per month 4.03 (0.01) 8.00 (7.86) 33.19 
AGRIAgriFORCE Growing Systems(0.30)8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 13.33 (12.00) 51.45 
LMNRLimoneira Co 0.13 6 per month 1.64  0.02  2.83 (2.51) 10.58 

AquaBounty Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AquaBounty price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AquaBounty using various technical indicators. When you analyze AquaBounty charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AquaBounty Technologies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AquaBounty Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AquaBounty Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AquaBounty Technologies based on analysis of AquaBounty Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AquaBounty Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AquaBounty Technologies's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Graham Number83.2149.7
Receivables Turnover2.462.58

Story Coverage note for AquaBounty Technologies

The number of cover stories for AquaBounty Technologies depends on current market conditions and AquaBounty Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AquaBounty Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AquaBounty Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AquaBounty Technologies Short Properties

AquaBounty Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when AquaBounty Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AquaBounty Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AquaBounty Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AquaBounty Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.2 M
When determining whether AquaBounty Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AquaBounty Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Aquabounty Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Aquabounty Technologies Stock:
Check out AquaBounty Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade AquaBounty Stock refer to our How to Trade AquaBounty Stock guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.

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When running AquaBounty Technologies' price analysis, check to measure AquaBounty Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AquaBounty Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of AquaBounty Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AquaBounty Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AquaBounty Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AquaBounty Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AquaBounty Technologies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AquaBounty Technologies. If investors know AquaBounty will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AquaBounty Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(7.17)
Revenue Per Share
0.643
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.227
Return On Assets
(0.09)
Return On Equity
(0.15)
The market value of AquaBounty Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AquaBounty that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AquaBounty Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AquaBounty Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AquaBounty Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AquaBounty Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AquaBounty Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AquaBounty Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AquaBounty Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.