Arcbest Corp Stock Price Prediction
| ARCB Stock | USD 137.00 8.95 6.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
ArcBest Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of ArcBest Corp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of ArcBest Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ArcBest Corp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ArcBest Corp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ArcBest Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ArcBest Corp's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.354 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.69 | EPS Estimate Current Year 10.01 | EPS Estimate Next Year 12.56 | Wall Street Target Price 159.1 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of ArcBest Corp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The ArcBest stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on ArcBest Corp over a specific investment horizon. Using ArcBest Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ArcBest Corp from the perspective of ArcBest Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ArcBest Corp using ArcBest Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ArcBest using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ArcBest Corp's stock price.
ArcBest Corp Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in ArcBest Corp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ArcBest. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ArcBest Corp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long ArcBest Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about ArcBest Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge ArcBest Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 118.3198 | Short Percent 0.0837 | Short Ratio 4.14 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.3 M | 50 Day MA 140.4934 |
ArcBest Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to ArcBest Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ArcBest. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ArcBest can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ArcBest Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ArcBest Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ArcBest Corp.
ArcBest Corp Implied Volatility | 50.15 |
ArcBest Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ArcBest Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ArcBest Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ArcBest Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when ArcBest Corp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in ArcBest Corp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ArcBest Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ArcBest because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
ArcBest Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 137.33 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current ArcBest contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that ArcBest Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.13% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With ArcBest Corp trading at USD 137.0, that is roughly USD 4.29 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating ArcBest Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring ArcBest Corp options at the current volatility level of 50.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
ArcBest |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ArcBest Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ArcBest Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ArcBest Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ArcBest Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ArcBest Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ArcBest Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ArcBest Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ArcBest Corp's historical news coverage. ArcBest Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 134.54 and 140.12, respectively. We have considered ArcBest Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ArcBest Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ArcBest Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
ArcBest Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ArcBest Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ArcBest Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ArcBest Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.24 | 2.81 | 0.31 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
137.00 | 137.33 | 0.24 |
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ArcBest Corp Hype Timeline
ArcBest Corp is presently traded for 137.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. ArcBest is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 137.33 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.24%. The volatility of related hype on ArcBest Corp is about 1652.94%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 137.04. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.43 B. Net Income was 142.16 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 554.65 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out ArcBest Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.ArcBest Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ArcBest Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ArcBest Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how ArcBest Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ArcBest Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TFII | TFI International | 0.78 | 9 per month | 1.52 | 0.06 | 2.64 | (2.07) | 10.36 | |
| MSTSX | Morningstar Unconstrained Allocation | (0.26) | 3 per month | 0.60 | (0.03) | 1.03 | (1.06) | 3.20 | |
| ID | SPACE | (0.01) | 7 per month | 7.01 | 0.16 | 15.25 | (13.79) | 120.24 |
ArcBest Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ArcBest price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ArcBest using various technical indicators. When you analyze ArcBest charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About ArcBest Corp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of ArcBest Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ArcBest Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ArcBest Corp based on analysis of ArcBest Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ArcBest Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ArcBest Corp's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002666 | 0.003998 | 0.003798 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.77 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
Story Coverage note for ArcBest Corp
The number of cover stories for ArcBest Corp depends on current market conditions and ArcBest Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ArcBest Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ArcBest Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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ArcBest Corp Short Properties
ArcBest Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when ArcBest Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ArcBest Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ArcBest Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ArcBest Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 330.1 M |
Check out ArcBest Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade ArcBest Stock refer to our How to Trade ArcBest Stock guide.Note that the ArcBest Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other ArcBest Corp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for ArcBest Stock analysis
When running ArcBest Corp's price analysis, check to measure ArcBest Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ArcBest Corp is operating at the current time. Most of ArcBest Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ArcBest Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ArcBest Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ArcBest Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is ArcBest Corp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ArcBest Corp. If investors know ArcBest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ArcBest Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.354 | Dividend Share 0.48 | Earnings Share 5.77 | Revenue Per Share 184.332 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of ArcBest Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ArcBest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ArcBest Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ArcBest Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ArcBest Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ArcBest Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ArcBest Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ArcBest Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ArcBest Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.