American Resources Corp Stock Price Prediction
| AREC Stock | USD 1.42 0.06 4.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
American Resources Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Resources shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Resources Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting American Resources' stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.06) | Wall Street Target Price 4.13 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.03) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.99) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American Resources based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Resources over a specific investment horizon. Using American Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Resources Corp from the perspective of American Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Resources using American Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Resources' stock price.
American Resources Implied Volatility | 199.83 |
American Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Resources Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Resources' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American Resources. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
American Resources after-hype prediction price | USD 1.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
American |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Resources' historical news coverage. American Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 5.29, respectively. We have considered American Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Resources is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Resources Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 3.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.42 | 1.42 | 0.00 |
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American Resources Hype Timeline
American Resources Corp is presently traded for 1.42. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Resources is about 32250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.42. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.15. American Resources Corp last dividend was issued on the 24th of May 2017. The entity had 1:30 split on the 24th of May 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out American Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.American Resources Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how American Resources' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WWR | Westwater Resources | 0.02 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.17 | (5.36) | 18.69 | |
| AQMS | Aqua Metals | 0.04 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 8.33 | (7.58) | 40.31 | |
| PPSI | Pioneer Power Solutions | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 5.54 | (5.94) | 30.90 | |
| HOFV | Hall of Fame | (0.11) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 5.11 | (3.32) | 19.20 | |
| ITRM | Iterum Therapeutics PLC | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.27 | (8.98) | 28.29 |
American Resources Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About American Resources Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of American Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Resources Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American Resources based on analysis of American Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Resources's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0296 | 0.0311 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.71 | 8.45 |
Story Coverage note for American Resources
The number of cover stories for American Resources depends on current market conditions and American Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Resources Short Properties
American Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when American Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Resources Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33 M |
Check out American Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the American Resources Corp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Resources' price analysis, check to measure American Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Resources is operating at the current time. Most of American Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Resources. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.15) | Revenue Per Share 0.222 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.99) | Return On Assets (0.17) | Return On Equity (45.05) |
The market value of American Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.