Ark Restaurants Corp Stock Price Prediction

ARKR Stock  USD 13.63  0.37  2.64%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Ark Restaurants' share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ark Restaurants, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Ark Restaurants Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Ark Restaurants shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Ark Restaurants' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ark Restaurants and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ark Restaurants' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ark Restaurants Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ark Restaurants' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Wall Street Target Price
17
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Ark Restaurants based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Ark stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Ark Restaurants over a specific investment horizon. Using Ark Restaurants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ark Restaurants Corp from the perspective of Ark Restaurants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Ark Restaurants. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ark Restaurants to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Ark Restaurants after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 13.63  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Ark Restaurants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ark Restaurants' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
12.1813.9415.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9613.7215.47
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
13.5013.8514.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Ark Restaurants. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Ark Restaurants' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Ark Restaurants' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Ark Restaurants Corp.

Ark Restaurants After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Ark Restaurants at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ark Restaurants or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ark Restaurants, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Ark Restaurants Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Ark Restaurants' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ark Restaurants' historical news coverage. Ark Restaurants' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.87 and 15.39, respectively. We have considered Ark Restaurants' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.63
13.63
After-hype Price
15.39
Upside
Ark Restaurants is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ark Restaurants Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Ark Restaurants Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ark Restaurants is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ark Restaurants backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ark Restaurants, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.12 
1.76
  0.01 
  0.02 
6 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.63
13.63
0.00 
3,520  
Notes

Ark Restaurants Hype Timeline

Ark Restaurants Corp is presently traded for 13.63. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Ark is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ark Restaurants is about 1353.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.65. About 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.96. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ark Restaurants Corp recorded a loss per share of 1.75. The entity last dividend was issued on the 28th of February 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Check out Ark Restaurants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Ark Restaurants Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Ark Restaurants' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ark Restaurants' future price movements. Getting to know how Ark Restaurants' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ark Restaurants may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Ark Restaurants Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Ark Restaurants Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Ark Restaurants stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ark Restaurants Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ark Restaurants based on analysis of Ark Restaurants hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ark Restaurants's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ark Restaurants's related companies.
 2016 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01350.0410.04720.0642
Price To Sales Ratio0.360.30.340.54

Story Coverage note for Ark Restaurants

The number of cover stories for Ark Restaurants depends on current market conditions and Ark Restaurants' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ark Restaurants is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ark Restaurants' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Ark Restaurants Short Properties

Ark Restaurants' future price predictability will typically decrease when Ark Restaurants' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ark Restaurants Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ark Restaurants' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ark Restaurants' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments13.4 M
When determining whether Ark Restaurants Corp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Ark Restaurants' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Ark Restaurants' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Ark Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Ark Restaurants Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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When running Ark Restaurants' price analysis, check to measure Ark Restaurants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ark Restaurants is operating at the current time. Most of Ark Restaurants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ark Restaurants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ark Restaurants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ark Restaurants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Ark Restaurants' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ark Restaurants. If investors know Ark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ark Restaurants listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.19)
Dividend Share
0.688
Earnings Share
(1.75)
Revenue Per Share
51.315
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.001
The market value of Ark Restaurants Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ark Restaurants' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ark Restaurants' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ark Restaurants' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ark Restaurants' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ark Restaurants' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ark Restaurants is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ark Restaurants' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.