Asanainc Stock Price Prediction

ASAN Stock  USD 14.72  0.82  5.90%   
As of today, the relative strength indicator of AsanaInc's share price is approaching 32. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AsanaInc, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

0

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
AsanaInc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AsanaInc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AsanaInc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AsanaInc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AsanaInc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AsanaInc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AsanaInc's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.25)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.22)
Wall Street Target Price
19.8
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.10)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.139
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AsanaInc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AsanaInc stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AsanaInc over a specific investment horizon. Using AsanaInc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AsanaInc from the perspective of AsanaInc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AsanaInc using AsanaInc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AsanaInc using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AsanaInc's stock price.

AsanaInc Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in AsanaInc's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards AsanaInc. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of AsanaInc stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long AsanaInc may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AsanaInc and may potentially protect profits, hedge AsanaInc with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
18.9727
Short Percent
0.1264
Short Ratio
4.5
Shares Short Prior Month
10.6 M
50 Day MA
16.5758

AsanaInc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to AsanaInc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AsanaInc. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AsanaInc can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AsanaInc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AsanaInc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AsanaInc.

AsanaInc Implied Volatility

    
  83.02  
AsanaInc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AsanaInc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AsanaInc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AsanaInc stock will not fluctuate a lot when AsanaInc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AsanaInc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AsanaInc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AsanaInc because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

AsanaInc after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 14.72  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AsanaInc contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AsanaInc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 5.19% per day over the life of the 2024-04-26 option contract. With AsanaInc trading at USD 14.72, that is roughly USD 0.76 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AsanaInc's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AsanaInc options at the current volatility level of 83.02%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out AsanaInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in AsanaInc Stock, please use our How to Invest in AsanaInc guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AsanaInc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.1412.3615.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.5613.7817.00
Details
18 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0922.0824.51
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.09-0.08-0.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as AsanaInc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against AsanaInc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, AsanaInc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in AsanaInc.

AsanaInc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of AsanaInc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AsanaInc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AsanaInc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

AsanaInc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting AsanaInc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AsanaInc's historical news coverage. AsanaInc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.50 and 17.94, respectively. We have considered AsanaInc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
14.72
14.72
After-hype Price
17.94
Upside
AsanaInc is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AsanaInc is based on 3 months time horizon.

AsanaInc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AsanaInc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AsanaInc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AsanaInc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
3.22
  0.02 
  0.04 
10 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
14.72
14.72
0.00 
4,025  
Notes

AsanaInc Hype Timeline

AsanaInc is presently traded for 14.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. AsanaInc is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on AsanaInc is about 2300.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.76. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.17. AsanaInc had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out AsanaInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in AsanaInc Stock, please use our How to Invest in AsanaInc guide.

AsanaInc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to AsanaInc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AsanaInc's future price movements. Getting to know how AsanaInc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AsanaInc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

AsanaInc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine AsanaInc price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AsanaInc using various technical indicators. When you analyze AsanaInc charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About AsanaInc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of AsanaInc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AsanaInc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AsanaInc based on analysis of AsanaInc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AsanaInc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AsanaInc's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04050.0569
Price To Sales Ratio5.885.59

Story Coverage note for AsanaInc

The number of cover stories for AsanaInc depends on current market conditions and AsanaInc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AsanaInc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AsanaInc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

AsanaInc Short Properties

AsanaInc's future price predictability will typically decrease when AsanaInc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AsanaInc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AsanaInc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AsanaInc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding220.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments519.5 M
When determining whether AsanaInc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AsanaInc's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Asanainc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Asanainc Stock:
Check out AsanaInc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in AsanaInc Stock, please use our How to Invest in AsanaInc guide.
Note that the AsanaInc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AsanaInc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.

Complementary Tools for AsanaInc Stock analysis

When running AsanaInc's price analysis, check to measure AsanaInc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AsanaInc is operating at the current time. Most of AsanaInc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AsanaInc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AsanaInc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AsanaInc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AsanaInc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AsanaInc. If investors know AsanaInc will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AsanaInc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(1.17)
Revenue Per Share
2.96
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.139
Return On Assets
(0.17)
Return On Equity
(0.75)
The market value of AsanaInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AsanaInc that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AsanaInc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AsanaInc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AsanaInc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AsanaInc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AsanaInc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AsanaInc is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AsanaInc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.