Astec Stock Future Price Prediction

ASTE -  USA Stock  

USD 59.40  0.58  0.97%

Astec Inds stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Astec Inds shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Astec Inds' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Astec Inds and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Astec Inds' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Astec Inds, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Astec Inds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Astec Inds based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Astec stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Astec Inds over a specific investment horizon. Using Astec Inds hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Astec Inds from the perspective of Astec Inds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Astec Inds Receivables Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Receivables Turnover was at 8.32. The current year Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to grow to 20.83, whereas Calculated Tax Rate is forecasted to decline to (2.69) .
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Astec Inds. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Astec Inds to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Astec because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Astec Inds after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 60.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astec Inds' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Astec Inds in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
53.4665.5368.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
54.1756.9459.71
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
81.0086.5092.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.992.072.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Astec Inds. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Astec Inds' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Astec Inds' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Astec Inds.

Astec Inds After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Astec Inds at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Astec Inds or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Astec Inds, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Astec Inds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Astec Inds' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Astec Inds' historical news coverage. Astec Inds' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 57.39 and 62.93, respectively. We have considered Astec Inds' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
59.40
28th of July 2021
60.16
After-hype Price
62.93
Upside
Astec Inds is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Astec Inds is based on 3 months time horizon.

Astec Inds Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Astec Inds is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Astec Inds backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Astec Inds, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.38  2.79  0.74   0.41  4 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
59.4060.161.28 
143.81  

Astec Inds Hype Timeline

Astec Inds is presently traded for 59.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.74 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.41. Astec is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 60.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 143.81%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 1.28% whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Astec Inds is about 259.53% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 58.99. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.02 B. Net Income was 35 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 240.1 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Please continue to Astec Inds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Astec Inds Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Astec Inds' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Astec Inds' future price movements. Getting to know how Astec Inds rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Astec Inds may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Astec Inds Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Astec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Astec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Astec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Astec Inds Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Astec Inds stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Astec Inds, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astec Inds based on analysis of Astec Inds hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Astec Inds's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Astec Inds's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity6.23E-46.39E-4
Interest Coverage128.86115.25

Story Coverage note for Astec Inds

The number of cover stories for Astec Inds depends on current market conditions and Astec Inds' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Astec Inds is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Astec Inds' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Astec Inds Short Properties

Astec Inds' future price predictability will typically decrease when Astec Inds' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Astec Inds often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Astec Inds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astec Inds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.93%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.44
Short Percent Of Float2.61%
Float Shares22.3M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day64.44k
Shares Short Prior Month393.26k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month142.31k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.73%
Please continue to Astec Inds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Astec Inds information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Astec Inds' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.

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When running Astec Inds price analysis, check to measure Astec Inds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astec Inds is operating at the current time. Most of Astec Inds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astec Inds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astec Inds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astec Inds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Astec Inds is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astec Inds' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astec Inds' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astec Inds' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astec Inds underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astec Inds' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Astec Inds value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astec Inds' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.