Astec Industries Stock Price Prediction

ASTE Stock  USD 43.47  1.20  2.84%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Astec Industries' the stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Astec, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Astec Industries stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Astec Industries shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Astec Industries' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Astec Industries and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Astec Industries' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Astec Industries, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Astec Industries' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.945
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.89
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.74
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.1
Wall Street Target Price
46.67
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Astec Industries based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Astec stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Astec Industries over a specific investment horizon. Using Astec Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Astec Industries from the perspective of Astec Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Astec Industries using Astec Industries' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Astec using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Astec Industries' stock price.

Astec Industries Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Astec Industries' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Astec Industries stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Astec Industries' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Astec Industries stock will not fluctuate a lot when Astec Industries' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Astec Industries. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Astec Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Astec because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Astec Industries after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 43.47  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Astec Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Astec Stock refer to our How to Trade Astec Stock guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Astec Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.1534.2947.82
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.1441.2843.42
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
51.8757.0063.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.790.861.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Astec Industries. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Astec Industries' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Astec Industries' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Astec Industries.

Astec Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Astec Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Astec Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Astec Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Astec Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Astec Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Astec Industries' historical news coverage. Astec Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 41.33 and 45.61, respectively. We have considered Astec Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
43.47
43.47
After-hype Price
45.61
Upside
Astec Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Astec Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.

Astec Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Astec Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Astec Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Astec Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.28 
2.16
  0.12 
  0.25 
10 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.47
43.47
0.00 
514.29  
Notes

Astec Industries Hype Timeline

Astec Industries is presently traded for 43.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Astec is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on Astec Industries is about 242.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.72. About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.47. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Astec Industries has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.6. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 19th of January 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Astec Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Astec Stock refer to our How to Trade Astec Stock guide.

Astec Industries Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Astec Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Astec Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Astec Industries rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Astec Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DEDeere Company 5.39 10 per month 1.29 (0.05) 2.12 (1.75) 7.35 
HYHyster Yale Materials Handling 0.07 9 per month 3.76  0  4.74 (4.05) 24.51 
MNTXManitex International(0.19)3 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.58 (6.10) 16.08 
LEVLion Electric Corp(0.19)7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.95 (4.57) 16.72 
TWITitan International 0.09 8 per month 0.00 (0.17) 2.72 (3.55) 14.33 
GENCGencor Industries 0.56 6 per month 1.47 (0.08) 3.20 (2.35) 8.32 
XOSXos Inc 0.50 11 per month 3.21  0.12  10.25 (5.65) 38.47 

Astec Industries Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Astec price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Astec using various technical indicators. When you analyze Astec charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Astec Industries Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Astec Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Astec Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Astec Industries based on analysis of Astec Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Astec Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Astec Industries's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.0064790.01210.0140.0133
Price To Sales Ratio1.430.730.630.58

Story Coverage note for Astec Industries

The number of cover stories for Astec Industries depends on current market conditions and Astec Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Astec Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Astec Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Astec Industries Short Properties

Astec Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Astec Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Astec Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Astec Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Astec Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding22.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments65.5 M
When determining whether Astec Industries is a strong investment it is important to analyze Astec Industries' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Astec Industries' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Astec Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Astec Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Astec Stock refer to our How to Trade Astec Stock guide.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

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When running Astec Industries' price analysis, check to measure Astec Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Astec Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Astec Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Astec Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Astec Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Astec Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Astec Industries' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Astec Industries. If investors know Astec will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Astec Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.945
Dividend Share
0.52
Earnings Share
1.47
Revenue Per Share
58.9
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
The market value of Astec Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Astec that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Astec Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Astec Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Astec Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Astec Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Astec Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Astec Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Astec Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.