Atlantic Union Bankshares Stock Price Prediction
| AUB Stock | USD 33.11 0.23 0.70% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
39
Oversold | Overbought |
Atlantic Union Bankshares stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Atlantic Union shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Atlantic Union's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Atlantic Union and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Atlantic Union's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Atlantic Union Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Atlantic Union's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.419 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.66 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.14 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.45 | Wall Street Target Price 39 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Atlantic Union based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Atlantic stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Atlantic Union over a specific investment horizon. Using Atlantic Union hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlantic Union Bankshares from the perspective of Atlantic Union response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atlantic Union using Atlantic Union's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atlantic using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atlantic Union's stock price.
Atlantic Union Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Atlantic Union's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atlantic Union Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atlantic Union's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atlantic Union stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atlantic Union's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Atlantic Union. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Atlantic Union to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Atlantic because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Atlantic Union after-hype prediction price | USD 33.13 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Atlantic |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic Union's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlantic Union After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atlantic Union at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlantic Union or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atlantic Union, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atlantic Union Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atlantic Union's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlantic Union's historical news coverage. Atlantic Union's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 31.14 and 35.12, respectively. We have considered Atlantic Union's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atlantic Union is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlantic Union Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atlantic Union Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlantic Union is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlantic Union backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlantic Union, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.99 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
33.11 | 33.13 | 0.06 |
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Atlantic Union Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Atlantic Union Bankshares is traded for 33.11. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Atlantic is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 33.13 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Atlantic Union is about 686.21%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 33.09. The company reported the last year's revenue of 696.27 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 201.82 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 683.76 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Atlantic Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Atlantic Union Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atlantic Union's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlantic Union's future price movements. Getting to know how Atlantic Union's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlantic Union may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.82 | (3.33) | 11.98 | |
| AFBI | Affinity Bancshares | (0.50) | 1 per month | 1.44 | (0.02) | 2.06 | (2.30) | 10.50 |
Atlantic Union Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atlantic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlantic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlantic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Atlantic Union Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Atlantic Union stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Atlantic Union Bankshares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Atlantic Union based on analysis of Atlantic Union hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Atlantic Union's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Atlantic Union's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0333 | 3.8E-5 | 3.6E-5 | Price To Sales Ratio | 4.26 | 3.9K | 4.1K |
Story Coverage note for Atlantic Union
The number of cover stories for Atlantic Union depends on current market conditions and Atlantic Union's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlantic Union is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlantic Union's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Atlantic Union Short Properties
Atlantic Union's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atlantic Union's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atlantic Union Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atlantic Union's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlantic Union's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 B |
Check out Atlantic Union Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Atlantic Stock analysis
When running Atlantic Union's price analysis, check to measure Atlantic Union's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlantic Union is operating at the current time. Most of Atlantic Union's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlantic Union's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlantic Union's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlantic Union to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Atlantic Union's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantic Union. If investors know Atlantic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlantic Union listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.419 | Dividend Share 1.24 | Earnings Share 2.53 | Revenue Per Share 9.116 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.092 |
The market value of Atlantic Union Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlantic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlantic Union's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlantic Union's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlantic Union's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlantic Union's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlantic Union's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlantic Union is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlantic Union's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.