Blackberry Stock Future Price Prediction

BB -  USA Stock  

USD 10.16  0.19  1.84%

Blackberry stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Blackberry shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Blackberry's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Blackberry and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Blackberry's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Blackberry, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Blackberry Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Blackberry based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Blackberry stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Blackberry over a specific investment horizon. Using Blackberry hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Blackberry from the perspective of Blackberry response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Blackberry Book Value per Share is projected to drop slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Book Value per Share was at 2.67. The current year Enterprise Value over EBITDA is expected to grow to 21.62, whereas Asset Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.29.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Blackberry. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Blackberry to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Blackberry because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Blackberry after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blackberry's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Blackberry in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
2.158.6815.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
5.0411.5718.11
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
5.507.6010.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.21-0.21-0.21
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blackberry. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blackberry's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blackberry's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Blackberry.

Blackberry After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Blackberry at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Blackberry or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Blackberry, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Blackberry Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Blackberry's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Blackberry's historical news coverage. Blackberry's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.32 and 17.38, respectively. We have considered Blackberry's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
10.16
30th of July 2021
10.85
After-hype Price
17.38
Upside
Blackberry is moderately volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blackberry is based on 3 months time horizon.

Blackberry Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Blackberry is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Blackberry backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Blackberry, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.44  6.26  0.58   0.08  12 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.1610.856.79 
474.24  

Blackberry Hype Timeline

As of July 30, 2021 Blackberry is listed for 10.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.58 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Blackberry is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 10.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 6.79% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Blackberry is about 3251.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.08. The company has Net Profit Margin (PM) of (123.63) %, which may indicate that it does not properly execute on its own pricing strategies. This is way below average. Likewise, it shows Net Operating Margin (NOM) of (10.75) %, which signifies that for every 100 dollars of sales, it has a net operating loss of -0.11. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 12 days.
Continue to Blackberry Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Blackberry Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Blackberry's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Blackberry's future price movements. Getting to know how Blackberry rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Blackberry may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Marqeta Inc Cl(0.28) 3 per month 0.00 (0.1)  5.08 (5.25)  11.40 
Datasea 0.03 6 per month 0.00 (0.0087)  11.65 (9.97)  76.40 
Euronet Worldwide 0.28 9 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.16 (3.31)  10.14 
Bottomline Tech IN 0.31 9 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.33 (2.67)  18.11 
E2Open Parent Hldg(0.27) 11 per month 2.35 (0.0143)  6.05 (3.65)  16.31 
EVO Payments(1.78) 9 per month 2.09  0.0081  3.11 (3.98)  10.81 
Evertec(0.59) 8 per month 1.62  0.0406  2.78 (2.90)  8.25 
Fireeye 0.76 8 per month 3.86 (0.0135)  4.33 (3.92)  22.95 

Blackberry Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Blackberry price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Blackberry using various technical indicators. When you analyze Blackberry charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Blackberry Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Blackberry stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Blackberry, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blackberry based on analysis of Blackberry hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Blackberry's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Blackberry's related companies.
 2017 2019 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share4.72.673.82
Asset Turnover0.240.30.29

Story Coverage note for Blackberry

The number of cover stories for Blackberry depends on current market conditions and Blackberry's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Blackberry is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Blackberry's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Blackberry

Blackberry Short Properties

Blackberry's future price predictability will typically decrease when Blackberry's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Blackberry often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Blackberry's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blackberry's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out8.29%
Short Percent Of Float9.41%
Float Shares510.85M
Shares Short Prior Month48.48M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day9.52M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month42.14M
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Continue to Blackberry Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Blackberry information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Blackberry's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Equity Search module to search for activelly traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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When running Blackberry price analysis, check to measure Blackberry's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackberry is operating at the current time. Most of Blackberry's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackberry's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackberry's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackberry to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Blackberry is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackberry that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackberry's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackberry's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackberry's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackberry underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackberry's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Blackberry value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackberry's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.