BCB Bancorp Stock Future Price Prediction

BCBP Stock  USD 17.91  0.08  0.44%   
BCB Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BCB Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BCB Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BCB Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BCB Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BCB Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to BCB Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of BCB Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The BCB Bancorp stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BCB Bancorp over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.131
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.71
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.83
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.79
Wall Street Target Price
20.33
Using BCB Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BCB Bancorp from the perspective of BCB Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards BCB Bancorp using BCB Bancorp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards BCB Bancorp using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of BCB Bancorp's stock price.
BCB Bancorp Earnings per Basic Share are very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. BCB Bancorp reported last year Earnings per Basic Share of 1.75. As of 2nd of February 2023, Earnings per Diluted Share is likely to grow to 1.86, while Total Assets Per Share are likely to drop 145.55.

BCB Bancorp Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in BCB Bancorp's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards BCB Bancorp. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of BCB Bancorp stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long BCB Bancorp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about BCB Bancorp and may potentially protect profits, hedge BCB Bancorp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
18.53
Short Percent
0.0213
Short Ratio
5.14
Shares Short Prior Month
295.4 K
50 Day MA
18.4888

BCB Bancorp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to BCB Bancorp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in BCB Bancorp. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BCB Bancorp can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BCB Bancorp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of BCB Bancorp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about BCB Bancorp.

BCB Bancorp Implied Volatility

    
  6.05  
BCB Bancorp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BCB Bancorp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BCB Bancorp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BCB Bancorp stock will not fluctuate a lot when BCB Bancorp's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BCB Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BCB Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BCB Bancorp because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BCB Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 17.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of BCB Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of BCB Bancorp in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
16.2017.4418.68
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
16.6917.9319.16
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
16.0016.5017.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
17.7818.0118.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as BCB Bancorp. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against BCB Bancorp's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, BCB Bancorp's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in BCB Bancorp.

BCB Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BCB Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BCB Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BCB Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BCB Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BCB Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BCB Bancorp's historical news coverage. BCB Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.66 and 19.14, respectively. We have considered BCB Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 17.91
17.90
After-hype Price
19.14
Upside
BCB Bancorp is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BCB Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

BCB Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as BCB Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BCB Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BCB Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15  1.24   0.01   0.01  6 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.9117.900.06 
1,771  

BCB Bancorp Hype Timeline

BCB Bancorp is currently traded for 17.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. BCB Bancorp is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 17.9. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.06% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.15%. The volatility of related hype on BCB Bancorp is about 3100.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.92. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BCB Bancorp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.67. The entity last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2023. The firm had 125:100 split on the 28th of October 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to BCB Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BCB Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BCB Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BCB Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how BCB Bancorp rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BCB Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

BCB Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BCB Bancorp price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BCB Bancorp using various technical indicators. When you analyze BCB Bancorp charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BCB Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BCB Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BCB Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BCB Bancorp based on analysis of BCB Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BCB Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BCB Bancorp's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
PPandE Turnover7.148.827.93
Calculated Tax Rate29.1129.0526.14

Story Coverage note for BCB Bancorp

The number of cover stories for BCB Bancorp depends on current market conditions and BCB Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BCB Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BCB Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

BCB Bancorp Short Properties

BCB Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when BCB Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BCB Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BCB Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BCB Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.2 M
Cash And Short Term Investments94.8 M
Continue to BCB Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the BCB Bancorp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other BCB Bancorp's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.

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Is BCB Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BCB Bancorp. If investors know BCB Bancorp will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BCB Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.131
Market Capitalization
304.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.104
Return On Assets
0.014
Return On Equity
0.1613
The market value of BCB Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BCB Bancorp that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BCB Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BCB Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BCB Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BCB Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BCB Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine BCB Bancorp value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BCB Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.