Brighthouse Financial Stock Price Prediction
| BHF Stock | USD 50.50 0.60 1.20% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
46
Oversold | Overbought |
Brighthouse Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Brighthouse Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Brighthouse Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Brighthouse Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Brighthouse Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Brighthouse Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Brighthouse Financial's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.278 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 4.32 | EPS Estimate Current Year 17.35 | EPS Estimate Next Year 19.88 | Wall Street Target Price 52 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Brighthouse Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Brighthouse stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Brighthouse Financial over a specific investment horizon. Using Brighthouse Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brighthouse Financial from the perspective of Brighthouse Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brighthouse Financial using Brighthouse Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brighthouse using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brighthouse Financial's stock price.
Brighthouse Financial Implied Volatility | 51.58 |
Brighthouse Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brighthouse Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brighthouse Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brighthouse Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brighthouse Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Brighthouse Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Brighthouse Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Brighthouse because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Brighthouse Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 49.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brighthouse contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brighthouse Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.22% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Brighthouse Financial trading at USD 50.5, that is roughly USD 1.63 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brighthouse Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brighthouse Financial options at the current volatility level of 51.58%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Brighthouse |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brighthouse Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brighthouse Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brighthouse Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brighthouse Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brighthouse Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brighthouse Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brighthouse Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brighthouse Financial's historical news coverage. Brighthouse Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.73 and 52.07, respectively. We have considered Brighthouse Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brighthouse Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brighthouse Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brighthouse Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brighthouse Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brighthouse Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brighthouse Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 2.18 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
50.50 | 49.90 | 0.00 |
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Brighthouse Financial Hype Timeline
On the 24th of April Brighthouse Financial is traded for 50.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Brighthouse is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 133.74%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brighthouse Financial is about 3781.63%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.50. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Brighthouse Financial recorded a loss per share of 18.39. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Brighthouse Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Brighthouse Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brighthouse Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brighthouse Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Brighthouse Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brighthouse Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Brighthouse Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brighthouse price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brighthouse using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brighthouse charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Brighthouse Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Brighthouse Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Brighthouse Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Brighthouse Financial based on analysis of Brighthouse Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Brighthouse Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Brighthouse Financial's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0205 | 0.0278 | 0.0292 | 0.0277 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.61 | 0.44 | 0.85 | 0.99 |
Story Coverage note for Brighthouse Financial
The number of cover stories for Brighthouse Financial depends on current market conditions and Brighthouse Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brighthouse Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brighthouse Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brighthouse Financial Short Properties
Brighthouse Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brighthouse Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brighthouse Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brighthouse Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brighthouse Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 66 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 86 B |
Check out Brighthouse Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Brighthouse Stock please use our How to Invest in Brighthouse Financial guide.Note that the Brighthouse Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Brighthouse Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Brighthouse Stock analysis
When running Brighthouse Financial's price analysis, check to measure Brighthouse Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Brighthouse Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Brighthouse Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Brighthouse Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Brighthouse Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Brighthouse Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Brighthouse Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brighthouse Financial. If investors know Brighthouse will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Brighthouse Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.278 | Earnings Share (18.39) | Revenue Per Share 67.774 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.53) | Return On Assets (0) |
The market value of Brighthouse Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Brighthouse that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Brighthouse Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Brighthouse Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Brighthouse Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Brighthouse Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Brighthouse Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Brighthouse Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Brighthouse Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.