Bhp Billiton Stock Future Price Prediction

BHP -  USA Stock  

USD 56.72  0.79  1.41%

Bhp Billiton stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bhp Billiton shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bhp Billiton's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bhp Billiton and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bhp Billiton's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bhp Billiton, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bhp Billiton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bhp Billiton Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bhp Billiton based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bhp Billiton stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bhp Billiton over a specific investment horizon. Using Bhp Billiton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bhp Billiton from the perspective of Bhp Billiton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Bhp Billiton Current Ratio is very stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Bhp Billiton reported last year Current Ratio of 1.63. As of 24th of October 2021, Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to grow to 1.10, while Dividend Yield is likely to drop 0.06.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bhp Billiton. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bhp Billiton to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bhp Billiton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bhp Billiton after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 56.98  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bhp Billiton's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bhp Billiton in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
51.0560.8762.96
Details
8 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
57.0069.0087.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bhp Billiton. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bhp Billiton's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bhp Billiton's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bhp Billiton.

Bhp Billiton After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bhp Billiton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bhp Billiton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Bhp Billiton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Bhp Billiton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bhp Billiton's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bhp Billiton's historical news coverage. Bhp Billiton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 54.89 and 59.07, respectively. We have considered Bhp Billiton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
56.72
24th of October 2021
56.98
After-hype Price
59.07
Upside
Bhp Billiton is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bhp Billiton is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bhp Billiton Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Bhp Billiton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bhp Billiton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bhp Billiton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.38  2.09  0.26   0.00  5 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
56.7256.980.46 
307.35  

Bhp Billiton Hype Timeline

On the 24th of October Bhp Billiton is traded for 56.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.26 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Bhp Billiton is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 56.98 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.46% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.38%. The volatility of related hype on Bhp Billiton is about 83600.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 56.72. The company reported the last year's revenue of 46.28 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 6.96 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 34.12 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 5 days.
Continue to Bhp Billiton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bhp Billiton Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bhp Billiton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bhp Billiton's future price movements. Getting to know how Bhp Billiton rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bhp Billiton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Bhp Billiton Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bhp Billiton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bhp Billiton using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bhp Billiton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bhp Billiton Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bhp Billiton stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bhp Billiton, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bhp Billiton based on analysis of Bhp Billiton hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bhp Billiton's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bhp Billiton's related companies.
 2018 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share14.7117.416.99
Asset Turnover0.420.570.48

Story Coverage note for Bhp Billiton

The number of cover stories for Bhp Billiton depends on current market conditions and Bhp Billiton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bhp Billiton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bhp Billiton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bhp Billiton Short Properties

Bhp Billiton's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bhp Billiton's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bhp Billiton often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bhp Billiton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bhp Billiton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.78%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.56
Float Shares2.51B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day3.39M
Shares Short Prior Month17.88M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month3.41M
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.71%
Continue to Bhp Billiton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bhp Billiton information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bhp Billiton's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.

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The market value of Bhp Billiton is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bhp Billiton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bhp Billiton's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bhp Billiton's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bhp Billiton's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bhp Billiton underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bhp Billiton's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bhp Billiton value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bhp Billiton's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.