Broadstone Net Leaseinc Stock Price Prediction
| BNL Stock | USD 14.44 0.11 0.76% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
45
Oversold | Overbought |
Broadstone Net LeaseInc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Broadstone Net shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Broadstone Net's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Broadstone Net and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Broadstone Net's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Broadstone Net LeaseInc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Broadstone Net's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.17 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.68 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.73 | Wall Street Target Price 18 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Broadstone Net based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Broadstone stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Broadstone Net over a specific investment horizon. Using Broadstone Net hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Broadstone Net LeaseInc from the perspective of Broadstone Net response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Broadstone Net using Broadstone Net's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Broadstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Broadstone Net's stock price.
Broadstone Net Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Broadstone Net's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Broadstone. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Broadstone Net stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Broadstone Net may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Broadstone Net and may potentially protect profits, hedge Broadstone Net with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 15.6485 | Short Percent 0.0211 | Short Ratio 2.08 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 14.9462 |
Broadstone Net LeaseInc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Broadstone Net's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Broadstone. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Broadstone can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Broadstone Net LeaseInc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Broadstone Net's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Broadstone Net.
Broadstone Net Implied Volatility | 34.04 |
Broadstone Net's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Broadstone Net LeaseInc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Broadstone Net's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Broadstone Net stock will not fluctuate a lot when Broadstone Net's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Broadstone Net. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Broadstone Net to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Broadstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Broadstone Net after-hype prediction price | USD 14.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Broadstone |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Broadstone Net's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Broadstone Net After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Broadstone Net at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Broadstone Net or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Broadstone Net, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Broadstone Net Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Broadstone Net's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Broadstone Net's historical news coverage. Broadstone Net's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.81 and 15.97, respectively. We have considered Broadstone Net's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Broadstone Net is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Broadstone Net LeaseInc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Broadstone Net Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Broadstone Net is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Broadstone Net backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Broadstone Net, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 1.58 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
14.44 | 14.39 | 0.35 |
|
Broadstone Net Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Broadstone Net LeaseInc is traded for 14.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Broadstone is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 14.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.35%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Broadstone Net is about 7900.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 14.44. About 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.91. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Broadstone Net LeaseInc last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Broadstone Net Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Broadstone Net Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Broadstone Net's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Broadstone Net's future price movements. Getting to know how Broadstone Net's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Broadstone Net may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SRC | Spirit Realty Capital | 1.06 | 8 per month | 0.93 | 0.15 | 3.17 | (2.02) | 8.33 | |
| AHH | Armada Hflr Pr | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 2.26 | (2.94) | 8.46 | |
| BRSP | Brightspire Capital | (0.28) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.46 | (4.21) | 9.32 | |
| SAFE | Safehold | (0.94) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.20 | (3.13) | 13.98 | |
| EPRT | Essential Properties Realty | 0.44 | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.01 | 1.99 | (1.80) | 7.22 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.02 | (0.02) | 1.56 | (1.58) | 5.58 | |
| AHH-PA | Armada Hoffler Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.56 | (1.81) | 4.94 | |
| OLP | One Liberty Properties | 0.16 | 7 per month | 1.43 | 0.03 | 2.12 | (2.46) | 8.20 | |
| CTO-PA | CTO Realty Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.76 | 0.02 | 2.26 | (1.60) | 5.26 | |
| MDV | Modiv Inc | (0.33) | 9 per month | 2.07 | 0.05 | 3.47 | (3.58) | 12.60 |
Broadstone Net Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Broadstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Broadstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Broadstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Broadstone Net Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Broadstone Net stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Broadstone Net LeaseInc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Broadstone Net based on analysis of Broadstone Net hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Broadstone Net's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Broadstone Net's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0407 | 0.0658 | 0.0646 | 0.0678 | Price To Sales Ratio | 9.92 | 6.76 | 7.26 | 12.4 |
Story Coverage note for Broadstone Net
The number of cover stories for Broadstone Net depends on current market conditions and Broadstone Net's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Broadstone Net is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Broadstone Net's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Broadstone Net Short Properties
Broadstone Net's future price predictability will typically decrease when Broadstone Net's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Broadstone Net LeaseInc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Broadstone Net's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Broadstone Net's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 196.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19.5 M |
Check out Broadstone Net Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for Broadstone Stock analysis
When running Broadstone Net's price analysis, check to measure Broadstone Net's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Broadstone Net is operating at the current time. Most of Broadstone Net's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Broadstone Net's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Broadstone Net's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Broadstone Net to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Stock Screener Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook. | |
| Commodity Channel Use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum |
Is Broadstone Net's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Broadstone Net. If investors know Broadstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Broadstone Net listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.83) | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 0.83 | Revenue Per Share 2.373 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Broadstone Net LeaseInc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Broadstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Broadstone Net's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Broadstone Net's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Broadstone Net's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Broadstone Net's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Broadstone Net's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Broadstone Net is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Broadstone Net's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.