Bank Of Nova Stock Price Prediction

BNS Stock  USD 49.69  0.11  0.22%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Bank of Nova Scotia's stock price is slightly above 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling a stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Bank of Nova Scotia stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bank of Nova Scotia shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bank of Nova Scotia's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bank of Nova Scotia and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bank of Nova Scotia's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bank Of Nova, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bank of Nova Scotia's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.246
EPS Estimate Current Year
4.84
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.22
Wall Street Target Price
48.32
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.19
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bank of Nova Scotia based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bank stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bank of Nova Scotia over a specific investment horizon. Using Bank of Nova Scotia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bank Of Nova from the perspective of Bank of Nova Scotia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bank of Nova Scotia using Bank of Nova Scotia's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bank using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bank of Nova Scotia's stock price.

Bank of Nova Scotia Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Bank of Nova Scotia's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bank. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bank of Nova Scotia stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Bank of Nova Scotia may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bank of Nova Scotia and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bank of Nova Scotia with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
46.7349
Short Percent
0.0026
Short Ratio
9.33
Shares Short Prior Month
20.7 M
50 Day MA
47.5108

Bank of Nova Scotia Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Bank of Nova Scotia's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Bank. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bank can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bank Of Nova. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bank of Nova Scotia's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bank of Nova Scotia.

Bank of Nova Scotia Implied Volatility

    
  16.66  
Bank of Nova Scotia's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bank Of Nova stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bank of Nova Scotia's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bank of Nova Scotia stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bank of Nova Scotia's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bank of Nova Scotia. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bank of Nova Scotia to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bank of Nova Scotia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 49.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bank of Nova Scotia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bank of Nova Scotia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bank of Nova Scotia in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.6849.7250.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.0450.0751.11
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.0550.6056.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.091.141.18
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bank of Nova Scotia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bank of Nova Scotia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bank of Nova Scotia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bank of Nova Scotia.

Bank of Nova Scotia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bank of Nova Scotia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bank of Nova Scotia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bank of Nova Scotia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bank of Nova Scotia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bank of Nova Scotia's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bank of Nova Scotia's historical news coverage. Bank of Nova Scotia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.81 and 50.89, respectively. We have considered Bank of Nova Scotia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
49.69
49.85
After-hype Price
50.89
Upside
Bank of Nova Scotia is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bank of Nova Scotia is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bank of Nova Scotia Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bank of Nova Scotia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bank of Nova Scotia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bank of Nova Scotia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.03
  0.06 
  0.03 
9 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.69
49.85
0.10 
251.22  
Notes

Bank of Nova Scotia Hype Timeline

On the 19th of March Bank of Nova Scotia is traded for 49.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Bank is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 49.85 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.1% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Bank of Nova Scotia is about 417.57% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 49.66. The company reported the last year's revenue of 31.79 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 7.53 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 29.25 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Bank of Nova Scotia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bank of Nova Scotia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bank of Nova Scotia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bank of Nova Scotia's future price movements. Getting to know how Bank of Nova Scotia rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bank of Nova Scotia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Bank of Nova Scotia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bank of Nova Scotia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bank of Nova Scotia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bank Of Nova, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bank of Nova Scotia based on analysis of Bank of Nova Scotia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bank of Nova Scotia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bank of Nova Scotia's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio2.552.141.92
Price Earnings Ratio8.029.168.25

Story Coverage note for Bank of Nova Scotia

The number of cover stories for Bank of Nova Scotia depends on current market conditions and Bank of Nova Scotia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bank of Nova Scotia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bank of Nova Scotia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bank of Nova Scotia Short Properties

Bank of Nova Scotia's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bank of Nova Scotia's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bank Of Nova often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bank of Nova Scotia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank of Nova Scotia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.2 B
Cash And Short Term Investments140.8 B
When determining whether Bank of Nova Scotia is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bank of Nova Scotia's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bank of Nova Scotia's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bank Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Bank of Nova Scotia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.

Complementary Tools for Bank Stock analysis

When running Bank of Nova Scotia's price analysis, check to measure Bank of Nova Scotia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bank of Nova Scotia is operating at the current time. Most of Bank of Nova Scotia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bank of Nova Scotia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bank of Nova Scotia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bank of Nova Scotia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bank of Nova Scotia's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bank of Nova Scotia. If investors know Bank will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bank of Nova Scotia listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.246
Dividend Share
4.21
Earnings Share
4.54
Revenue Per Share
24.448
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.02
The market value of Bank of Nova Scotia is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bank that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bank of Nova Scotia's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bank of Nova Scotia's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bank of Nova Scotia's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bank of Nova Scotia's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bank of Nova Scotia's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bank of Nova Scotia is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bank of Nova Scotia's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.