Bogota Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction

BSBK Stock  USD 7.46  0.15  2.05%   
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Bogota Financial's share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Bogota Financial, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

50

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bogota Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bogota Financial Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Bogota Financial's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.45)
Wall Street Target Price
12
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
Using Bogota Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bogota Financial Corp from the perspective of Bogota Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bogota Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bogota because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bogota Financial after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 7.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Bogota Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bogota Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.758.4310.11
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.857.549.22
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bogota Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bogota Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bogota Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bogota Financial Corp.

Bogota Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bogota Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bogota Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bogota Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bogota Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bogota Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bogota Financial's historical news coverage. Bogota Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.60 and 8.96, respectively. We have considered Bogota Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.46
7.28
After-hype Price
8.96
Upside
Bogota Financial is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bogota Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bogota Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bogota Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bogota Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bogota Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.18 
1.70
  0.03 
  0.02 
8 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.46
7.28
0.41 
944.44  
Notes

Bogota Financial Hype Timeline

Bogota Financial Corp is currently traded for 7.46. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Bogota is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.28. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.41%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Bogota Financial is about 1714.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.44. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bogota Financial Corp recorded a loss per share of 0.06. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Bogota Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bogota Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bogota Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bogota Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Bogota Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bogota Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
HMNFHMN Financial(0.15)6 per month 1.32  0.12  4.54 (2.91) 24.45 
HFBLHome Federal Bancorp 0.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.08) 3.71 (3.88) 10.35 
FFNWFirst Financial Northwest 0.05 9 per month 0.65  0.03  1.74 (1.26) 5.48 
FNWBFirst Northwest Bancorp(0.19)6 per month 0.00 (0.1) 4.47 (2.77) 12.56 
FCAPFirst Capital(0.39)9 per month 1.40  0.05  4.38 (3.16) 8.95 
CWBCCommunity West Bancshares 0.12 7 per month 1.05  0.08  3.76 (2.01) 8.61 
OFEDOconee Federal Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.48 (5.28) 12.66 
CULLCullman Bancorp 0.00 5 per month 0.00 (0.25) 1.18 (1.64) 4.73 
HTBIHomeTrust Bancshares 0.08 9 per month 0.98  0.25  4.23 (2.26) 8.97 
CFBKCF Bankshares 0.25 8 per month 1.56  0.04  2.89 (2.16) 11.28 
HVBCHV Bancorp(0.52)3 per month 2.03  0.10  2.68 (4.11) 18.63 
LSBKLake Shore Bancorp(0.44)9 per month 1.72  0.05  5.37 (3.18) 12.27 

Bogota Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bogota price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bogota using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bogota charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bogota Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bogota Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bogota Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bogota Financial based on analysis of Bogota Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bogota Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bogota Financial's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding35.8646.0137.3629.09
PTB Ratio0.951.090.760.72

Story Coverage note for Bogota Financial

The number of cover stories for Bogota Financial depends on current market conditions and Bogota Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bogota Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bogota Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bogota Financial Short Properties

Bogota Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bogota Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bogota Financial Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bogota Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bogota Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding12.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments-13.6 M

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bogota Stock

When determining whether Bogota Financial Corp is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Bogota Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Bogota Financial Corp Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Bogota Financial Corp Stock:
Check out Bogota Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bogota Financial. If investors know Bogota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bogota Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.45)
Earnings Share
(0.06)
Revenue Per Share
1.116
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.39)
Return On Assets
(0.0008)
The market value of Bogota Financial Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bogota that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bogota Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bogota Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bogota Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bogota Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bogota Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Bogota Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bogota Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.