Burlington Stores Stock Price Prediction
| BURL Stock | USD 179.91 1.01 0.56% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
43
Oversold | Overbought |
Burlington Stores stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Burlington Stores shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Burlington Stores' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Burlington Stores and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Burlington Stores' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Burlington Stores, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Burlington Stores' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.73 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.08 | Wall Street Target Price 243.47 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 3.3 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Burlington Stores based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Burlington stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Burlington Stores over a specific investment horizon. Using Burlington Stores hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Burlington Stores from the perspective of Burlington Stores response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Burlington Stores using Burlington Stores' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Burlington using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Burlington Stores' stock price.
Burlington Stores Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Burlington Stores' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Burlington. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Burlington Stores stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Burlington Stores may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Burlington Stores and may potentially protect profits, hedge Burlington Stores with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 172.614 | Short Percent 0.0545 | Short Ratio 2.84 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.7 M | 50 Day MA 207.7312 |
Burlington Stores Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Burlington Stores' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Burlington. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Burlington can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Burlington Stores. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Burlington Stores' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Burlington Stores.
Burlington Stores Implied Volatility | 138.26 |
Burlington Stores' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Burlington Stores stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Burlington Stores' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Burlington Stores stock will not fluctuate a lot when Burlington Stores' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Burlington Stores. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Burlington Stores to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Burlington because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Burlington Stores after-hype prediction price | USD 179.91 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Burlington contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Burlington Stores will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 8.64% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Burlington Stores trading at USD 179.91, that is roughly USD 15.55 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Burlington Stores' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Burlington Stores options at the current volatility level of 138.26%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Burlington |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Burlington Stores' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Burlington Stores After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Burlington Stores at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Burlington Stores or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Burlington Stores, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Burlington Stores Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Burlington Stores' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Burlington Stores' historical news coverage. Burlington Stores' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 177.79 and 182.03, respectively. We have considered Burlington Stores' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Burlington Stores is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Burlington Stores is based on 3 months time horizon.
Burlington Stores Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Burlington Stores is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Burlington Stores backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Burlington Stores, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 2.12 | 0.25 | 0.12 | 13 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
179.91 | 179.91 | 0.00 |
|
Burlington Stores Hype Timeline
Burlington Stores is currently traded for 179.91. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.25, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Burlington is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 92.58%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Burlington Stores is about 198.36%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 179.79. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.99. Burlington Stores recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.23. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Burlington Stores Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Burlington Stores Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Burlington Stores' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Burlington Stores' future price movements. Getting to know how Burlington Stores' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Burlington Stores may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BURL | Burlington Stores | (2.29) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.26 | (3.05) | 11.97 | |
| GES | Guess Inc | (3.18) | 9 per month | 2.04 | 0.1 | 3.55 | (3.60) | 27.41 | |
| URBN | Urban Outfitters | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.91 | (3.62) | 16.62 | |
| PLCE | Childrens Place | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 16.46 | (16.45) | 99.19 | |
| BKE | Buckle Inc | (0.16) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.71 | (4.39) | 9.04 | |
| HIBB | Hibbett Sports | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.58 | 0.04 | 3.78 | (4.05) | 12.41 | |
| ANF | Abercrombie Fitch | (4.42) | 8 per month | 3.30 | 0.08 | 4.49 | (5.34) | 14.82 | |
| GPS | Gap Inc | 1.50 | 10 per month | 2.39 | 0.02 | 4.93 | (4.11) | 12.81 |
Burlington Stores Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Burlington price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Burlington using various technical indicators. When you analyze Burlington charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Burlington Stores Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Burlington Stores stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Burlington Stores, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Burlington Stores based on analysis of Burlington Stores hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Burlington Stores's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Burlington Stores's related companies. | 2014 | 2020 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002386 | 0.001386 | 9.07E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.97 | 1.31 | 0.76 |
Story Coverage note for Burlington Stores
The number of cover stories for Burlington Stores depends on current market conditions and Burlington Stores' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Burlington Stores is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Burlington Stores' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Burlington Stores Short Properties
Burlington Stores' future price predictability will typically decrease when Burlington Stores' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Burlington Stores often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Burlington Stores' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Burlington Stores' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 925.4 M |
Check out Burlington Stores Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Burlington Stock please use our How to buy in Burlington Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Burlington Stock analysis
When running Burlington Stores' price analysis, check to measure Burlington Stores' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Burlington Stores is operating at the current time. Most of Burlington Stores' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Burlington Stores' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Burlington Stores' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Burlington Stores to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Content Syndication Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal | |
| Stocks Directory Find actively traded stocks across global markets | |
| Companies Directory Evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals |
Is Burlington Stores' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Burlington Stores. If investors know Burlington will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Burlington Stores listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Earnings Share 5.23 | Revenue Per Share 150.268 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.14 | Return On Assets 0.047 |
The market value of Burlington Stores is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Burlington that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Burlington Stores' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Burlington Stores' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Burlington Stores' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Burlington Stores' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Burlington Stores' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Burlington Stores is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Burlington Stores' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.