Bioventus Stock Future Price Prediction

BVS
 Stock
  

USD 8.42  0.24  2.77%   

Bioventus Inc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bioventus Inc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bioventus Inc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bioventus Inc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bioventus Inc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bioventus Inc Cl, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Bioventus Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bioventus Inc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bioventus stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bioventus Inc over a specific investment horizon.
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.16
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.65
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.79
Wall Street Target Price
18.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
0.05
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.43
Using Bioventus Inc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bioventus Inc Cl from the perspective of Bioventus Inc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Bioventus Inc using Bioventus Inc's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Bioventus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Bioventus Inc's stock price.
Bioventus Inc Tangible Assets Book Value per Share are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Bioventus Inc reported last year Tangible Assets Book Value per Share of 8.42

Bioventus Inc Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Bioventus Inc's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Bioventus. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Bioventus Inc stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Bioventus Inc may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Bioventus Inc and may potentially protect profits, hedge Bioventus Inc with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
11.91
Short Percent
0.0442
Short Ratio
5.51
Shares Short Prior Month
1.7 M
50 Day MA
8.34
Shares Short
1.8 M

Bioventus Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Bioventus Inc's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Bioventus. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Bioventus can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Bioventus Inc Cl. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Bioventus Inc's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Bioventus Inc.

Bioventus Inc Implied Volatility

    
  23.94  
Bioventus Inc's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Bioventus Inc Cl stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Bioventus Inc's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Bioventus Inc stock will not fluctuate a lot when Bioventus Inc's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bioventus Inc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bioventus Inc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bioventus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Bioventus Inc after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 8.67  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bioventus Inc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Bioventus Inc in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.1911.7716.35
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
20.0022.6725.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (1)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.371.371.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bioventus Inc. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bioventus Inc's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bioventus Inc's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Bioventus Inc.

Bioventus Inc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bioventus Inc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bioventus Inc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Bioventus Inc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bioventus Inc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bioventus Inc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bioventus Inc's historical news coverage. Bioventus Inc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.09 and 13.25, respectively. We have considered Bioventus Inc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 8.42
8.67
After-hype Price
13.25
Upside
Bioventus Inc is somewhat reliable asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bioventus Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bioventus Inc Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Bioventus Inc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bioventus Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bioventus Inc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.11  4.58  0.01   0.09  1 Events / Month8 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.428.670.12 
7,633  

Bioventus Inc Hype Timeline

On the 11th of August 2022 Bioventus Inc is traded for 8.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Bioventus is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 8.67 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is forecasted to be 0.12% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Bioventus Inc is about 533.18% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 8.51. The company reported the last year's revenue of 466.41 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (52.6 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 302.71 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipatedpress releasewill be very soon.
Continue to Bioventus Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Bioventus Inc Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bioventus Inc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bioventus Inc's future price movements. Getting to know how Bioventus Inc rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bioventus Inc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AAgilent Technologies 0.42 7 per month 2.23  0.06  4.22 (3.24)  8.98 
ALVRAllovir 0.30 3 per month 5.79  0.14  13.96 (8.23)  30.02 
DISWalt Disney 1.90 8 per month 1.94  0.0119  3.75 (3.76)  7.34 
DDDupont Denemours(0.92) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0492)  3.56 (3.21)  9.48 
JPMJP Morgan Chase(2.70) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0334)  3.03 (2.43)  10.79 
CVXChevron Corp 1.63 10 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.06 (4.57)  11.62 
AXPAmerican Express 3.98 8 per month 0.00 (0.0166)  3.79 (3.84)  9.74 
TRVThe Travelers Companies 3.12 10 per month 0.00 (0.0441)  2.17 (2.33)  9.03 
XOMExxon Mobil Corp 0.81 8 per month 3.03  0.0071  3.33 (4.21)  10.43 
HPQHP Inc 0.05 9 per month 0.00 (0.0452)  4.22 (4.31)  12.62 

Bioventus Inc Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bioventus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bioventus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bioventus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Bioventus Inc Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Bioventus Inc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bioventus Inc Cl, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bioventus Inc based on analysis of Bioventus Inc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bioventus Inc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bioventus Inc's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share29.4210.0915.66
Asset Turnover0.660.540.56

Story Coverage note for Bioventus Inc

The number of cover stories for Bioventus Inc depends on current market conditions and Bioventus Inc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bioventus Inc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bioventus Inc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Bioventus Inc Short Properties

Bioventus Inc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bioventus Inc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bioventus Inc Cl often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bioventus Inc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bioventus Inc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.79%
Short Percent Of Float4.42%
Float Shares28.23M
Shares Short Prior Month1.81M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day98.52k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month243.74k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Bioventus Inc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bioventus Inc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bioventus Inc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

Complementary Tools for Bioventus Stock analysis

When running Bioventus Inc price analysis, check to measure Bioventus Inc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bioventus Inc is operating at the current time. Most of Bioventus Inc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bioventus Inc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bioventus Inc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bioventus Inc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Bioventus Inc's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Bioventus Inc. If investors know Bioventus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Bioventus Inc listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Market Capitalization
524.6 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.43
Return On Assets
-0.0038
Return On Equity
-0.0802
The market value of Bioventus Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Bioventus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Bioventus Inc's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Bioventus Inc's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Bioventus Inc's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Bioventus Inc's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Bioventus Inc's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Bioventus Inc value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Bioventus Inc's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.