Cai International Stock Future Price Prediction

CAI -  USA Stock  

USD 55.81  0.05  0.09%

Cai International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cai International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cai International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cai International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cai International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cai International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Cai International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cai International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cai International stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cai International over a specific investment horizon. Using Cai International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cai International from the perspective of Cai International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Cai International PPandE Turnover is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of PPandE Turnover was reported at 597.37. The current Cash and Equivalents Turnover is estimated to increase to 6.17, while Long Term Debt to Equity is projected to decrease to 2.22.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cai International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cai International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cai International because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cai International after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 55.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cai International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Cai International in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
47.3753.4959.61
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
53.0759.1965.31
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
56.0056.0056.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.357.657.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cai International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cai International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cai International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Cai International.

Cai International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cai International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cai International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Cai International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Cai International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cai International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cai International's historical news coverage. Cai International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.69 and 61.93, respectively. We have considered Cai International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
55.81
1st of August 2021
55.81
After-hype Price
61.93
Upside
Cai International is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cai International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cai International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Cai International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cai International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cai International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.52  6.12  0.35   0.54  12 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
55.8155.810.00 
913.43  

Cai International Hype Timeline

On the 1st of August Cai International is traded for 55.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.35 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.54. Cai International forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.52%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Cai International is about 585.65%. The volatility of related hype on Cai International is about 585.65% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 56.35. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.53. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cai International has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.71. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 9th of June 2021. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 12 days.
Continue to Cai International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cai International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cai International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cai International's future price movements. Getting to know how Cai International rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cai International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Cai International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cai International price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cai International using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cai International charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cai International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cai International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cai International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cai International based on analysis of Cai International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cai International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cai International's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity2.642.712.22
Interest Coverage1.91.652.26

Story Coverage note for Cai International

The number of cover stories for Cai International depends on current market conditions and Cai International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cai International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cai International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Cai International

Cai International Short Properties

Cai International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cai International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cai International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cai International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cai International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.69%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.80
Short Percent Of Float2.89%
Float Shares14.63M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day367.07k
Shares Short Prior Month329.89k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month465.47k
Date Short Interest30th of June 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.43%
Continue to Cai International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Cai International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Cai International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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When running Cai International price analysis, check to measure Cai International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cai International is operating at the current time. Most of Cai International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cai International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cai International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cai International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Cai International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cai International that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cai International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cai International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cai International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cai International underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cai International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Cai International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cai International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.