CullenFrost Stock Future Price Prediction

CFR -  USA Stock  

USD 130.28  6.21  4.55%

CullenFrost Bankers stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CullenFrost Bankers shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CullenFrost Bankers' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CullenFrost Bankers and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CullenFrost Bankers' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CullenFrost Bankers, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to CullenFrost Bankers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CullenFrost Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CullenFrost Bankers based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CullenFrost stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CullenFrost Bankers over a specific investment horizon. Using CullenFrost Bankers hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CullenFrost Bankers from the perspective of CullenFrost Bankers response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CullenFrost Bankers using CullenFrost Bankers' options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CullenFrost using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CullenFrost Bankers' stock price.
CullenFrost Bankers Earnings per Basic Share are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. CullenFrost Bankers reported last year Earnings per Basic Share of 5.11. As of 11/28/2021, Earnings per Diluted Share is likely to grow to 5.44, while Total Assets Per Share are likely to drop 545.90.

CullenFrost Bankers Implied Volatility

    
  30.76  
CullenFrost Bankers' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CullenFrost Bankers stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CullenFrost Bankers' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CullenFrost Bankers stock will not fluctuate a lot when CullenFrost Bankers' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CullenFrost Bankers. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CullenFrost Bankers to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CullenFrost because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CullenFrost Bankers after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 129.89  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CullenFrost Bankers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CullenFrost Bankers in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
117.25136.57138.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
128.40130.05131.69
Details
10 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
100.00123.33144.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (8)
LowProjected EPSHigh
6.336.506.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CullenFrost Bankers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CullenFrost Bankers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CullenFrost Bankers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CullenFrost Bankers.

CullenFrost Bankers After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CullenFrost Bankers at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CullenFrost Bankers or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of CullenFrost Bankers, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

CullenFrost Bankers Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CullenFrost Bankers' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CullenFrost Bankers' historical news coverage. CullenFrost Bankers' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 128.25 and 131.53, respectively. We have considered CullenFrost Bankers' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
130.28
28th of November 2021
128.25
Downside
129.89
After-hype Price
131.53
Upside
CullenFrost Bankers is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CullenFrost Bankers is based on 3 months time horizon.

CullenFrost Bankers Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as CullenFrost Bankers is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CullenFrost Bankers backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CullenFrost Bankers, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23  1.69  0.36   0.15  11 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
130.28129.890.30 
106.96  

CullenFrost Bankers Hype Timeline

On the 28th of November CullenFrost Bankers is traded for 130.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.36 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. CullenFrost is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 129.89. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 106.96%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.3% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on CullenFrost Bankers is about 264.06% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 130.13. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of CullenFrost Bankers was currently reported as 64.89. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.75. CullenFrost Bankers recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.14. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 30th of August 2021. The firm had 2:1 split on the 23rd of June 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 11 days.
Continue to CullenFrost Bankers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

CullenFrost Bankers Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CullenFrost Bankers' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CullenFrost Bankers' future price movements. Getting to know how CullenFrost Bankers rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CullenFrost Bankers may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CullenFrost Bankers Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CullenFrost price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CullenFrost using various technical indicators. When you analyze CullenFrost charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CullenFrost Bankers Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CullenFrost Bankers stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CullenFrost Bankers, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CullenFrost Bankers based on analysis of CullenFrost Bankers hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CullenFrost Bankers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CullenFrost Bankers's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
PPandE Turnover2.611.911.442.17
Calculated Tax Rate10.5711.195.745.89

Story Coverage note for CullenFrost Bankers

The number of cover stories for CullenFrost Bankers depends on current market conditions and CullenFrost Bankers' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CullenFrost Bankers is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CullenFrost Bankers' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CullenFrost Bankers Short Properties

CullenFrost Bankers' future price predictability will typically decrease when CullenFrost Bankers' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CullenFrost Bankers often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CullenFrost Bankers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CullenFrost Bankers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.57%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate2.86
Short Percent Of Float3.72%
Float Shares58.29M
Shares Short Prior Month1.93M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day196.42k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month278.69k
Date Short Interest31st of August 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.14%
Continue to CullenFrost Bankers Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the CullenFrost Bankers information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CullenFrost Bankers' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Probability Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

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Is CullenFrost Bankers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CullenFrost Bankers. If investors know CullenFrost will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CullenFrost Bankers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of CullenFrost Bankers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CullenFrost that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CullenFrost Bankers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CullenFrost Bankers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CullenFrost Bankers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CullenFrost Bankers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CullenFrost Bankers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CullenFrost Bankers value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CullenFrost Bankers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.