Capstone Stock Future Price Prediction

CGRN
 Stock
  

USD 1.77  0.03  1.67%   

Capstone Green Energy stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Capstone Green shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Capstone Green's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Capstone Green and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Capstone Green's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Capstone Green Energy, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Capstone Green Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Capstone Green based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Capstone stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Capstone Green over a specific investment horizon.Using Capstone Green hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capstone Green Energy from the perspective of Capstone Green response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Capstone Green using Capstone Green's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Capstone using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Capstone Green's stock price.

Capstone Green Implied Volatility

    
  148.74  
Capstone Green's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Capstone Green Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Capstone Green's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Capstone Green stock will not fluctuate a lot when Capstone Green's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Capstone Green. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capstone Green to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capstone because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Capstone Green after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.81  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capstone Green's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Capstone Green in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.244.8014.04
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.033931.7010.94
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
10.0013.3316.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.702.232.76
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capstone Green. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capstone Green's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capstone Green's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Capstone Green Energy.

Capstone Green After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Capstone Green at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capstone Green or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Capstone Green, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Capstone Green Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Capstone Green's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capstone Green's historical news coverage. Capstone Green's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 11.05, respectively. We have considered Capstone Green's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.77
1.81
After-hype Price
11.05
Upside
Capstone Green is very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capstone Green Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.

Capstone Green Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Capstone Green is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capstone Green backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capstone Green, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.12  9.26  0.04    0.32  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.771.810.56 
2,724  

Capstone Green Hype Timeline

Capstone Green Energy is currently traded for 1.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.32. Capstone is projected to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 1.81 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 0.56% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Capstone Green is about 345.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.45. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 69.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.21 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.33 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to Capstone Green Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Capstone Green Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Capstone Green's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capstone Green's future price movements. Getting to know how Capstone Green rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capstone Green may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.41  0.08  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

Capstone Green Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Capstone price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capstone using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capstone charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Capstone Green Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Capstone Green stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capstone Green Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capstone Green based on analysis of Capstone Green hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capstone Green's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capstone Green's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Capstone Green

The number of cover stories for Capstone Green depends on current market conditions and Capstone Green's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capstone Green is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capstone Green's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Capstone Green Short Properties

Capstone Green's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capstone Green's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capstone Green Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capstone Green's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capstone Green's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.28%
Short Percent Of Float1.30%
Float Shares15.02M
Shares Short Prior Month233.01k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day144.88k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month192.28k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Continue to Capstone Green Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try CEO Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.

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When running Capstone Green Energy price analysis, check to measure Capstone Green's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capstone Green is operating at the current time. Most of Capstone Green's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capstone Green's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capstone Green's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capstone Green to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Capstone Green's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Capstone Green. If investors know Capstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Capstone Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Capstone Green Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Capstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Capstone Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Capstone Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Capstone Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Capstone Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Capstone Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Capstone Green value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capstone Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.