China Foods Ltd Stock Price Prediction
| CHFHY Stock | USD 7.65 0.43 5.96% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
100
Oversold | Overbought |
China Foods stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of China Foods shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of China Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Foods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Foods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Foods Ltd, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of China Foods based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The China stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on China Foods over a specific investment horizon. Using China Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Foods Ltd from the perspective of China Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in China Foods. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Foods to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
China Foods after-hype prediction price | USD 7.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
China |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
China Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of China Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of China Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
China Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting China Foods' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Foods' historical news coverage. China Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.89 and 8.41, respectively. We have considered China Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
China Foods is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
China Foods Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as China Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.65 | 7.65 | 0.00 |
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China Foods Hype Timeline
China Foods is currently traded for 7.65. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. China is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on China Foods is about 1159.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.66. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.05. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. China Foods last dividend was issued on the 13th of June 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out China Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.China Foods Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to China Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how China Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | 0.47 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.35 | (1.96) | 7.21 | |
| CELH | Celsius Holdings | (3.83) | 10 per month | 2.69 | 0.12 | 5.62 | (4.26) | 28.98 | |
| MNST | Monster Beverage Corp | (0.73) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.72 | (1.67) | 8.42 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | 1.84 | 11 per month | 1.47 | (0.01) | 2.62 | (2.07) | 9.62 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | (0.14) | 8 per month | 1.32 | (0.07) | 1.81 | (1.95) | 5.62 | |
| COCO | Vita Coco | 0.69 | 11 per month | 1.88 | 0.01 | 2.88 | (3.13) | 18.89 | |
| PEP | PepsiCo | 0.47 | 8 per month | 1.05 | (0.04) | 1.65 | (1.54) | 5.44 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | (0.19) | 8 per month | 0.66 | (0.08) | 1.20 | (1.02) | 3.85 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | 2.01 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.33 | (2.40) | 7.68 |
China Foods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About China Foods Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of China Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Foods Ltd, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Foods based on analysis of China Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Foods's related companies. Story Coverage note for China Foods
The number of cover stories for China Foods depends on current market conditions and China Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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China Foods Short Properties
China Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when China Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Foods Ltd often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B |
Check out China Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the China Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for China Pink Sheet analysis
When running China Foods' price analysis, check to measure China Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Foods is operating at the current time. Most of China Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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