Colliers International Group Stock Price Prediction

CIGI Stock  USD 149.23  1.45  0.98%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Colliers International's the stock price is under 66 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 10th of October 2024. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Colliers, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

66

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Colliers International's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Colliers International Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Colliers International's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.996
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.11
EPS Estimate Current Year
8.33
EPS Estimate Next Year
9.72
Wall Street Target Price
194.23
Using Colliers International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Colliers International Group from the perspective of Colliers International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Colliers International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Colliers because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Colliers International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 150.28  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Colliers International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Colliers International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
134.31151.41153.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
145.48147.13148.78
Details
9 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
119.12130.90145.30
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.911.532.36
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Colliers International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Colliers International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Colliers International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Colliers International.

Colliers International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Colliers International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Colliers International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Colliers International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Colliers International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Colliers International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Colliers International's historical news coverage. Colliers International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 148.63 and 151.93, respectively. We have considered Colliers International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
149.23
148.63
Downside
150.28
After-hype Price
151.93
Upside
Colliers International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Colliers International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Colliers International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Colliers International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Colliers International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Colliers International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.31 
1.65
  1.05 
  0.09 
10 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
149.23
150.28
0.70 
48.53  
Notes

Colliers International Hype Timeline

Colliers International is currently traded for 149.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 1.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Colliers is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 150.28 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 48.53%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.7%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Colliers International is about 577.26%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 149.32. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 4.41 B. Net Income was 66.74 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.71 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Colliers International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Colliers International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Colliers International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Colliers International's future price movements. Getting to know how Colliers International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Colliers International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FRPHFrp Holdings Ord 0.05 8 per month 1.48  0.01  2.94 (2.65) 8.63 
MMIMarcus Millichap(0.62)10 per month 1.66  0.04  2.92 (2.79) 12.63 
MLPMaui Land Pineapple 0.84 5 per month 2.71  0  4.26 (5.00) 16.40 
MAYSMAYS J W 0.00 2 per month 0.00 (0.12) 2.36 (3.70) 11.71 
JLLJones Lang LaSalle 4.02 11 per month 1.36  0.13  4.16 (2.24) 8.67 
NMRKNewmark Group(0.07)10 per month 1.66  0.20  4.28 (3.10) 11.68 
CBRECBRE Group Class(1.14)11 per month 0.74  0.21  2.90 (1.66) 12.69 
CWKCushman Wakefield plc(0.05)8 per month 1.91  0.05  4.68 (3.61) 11.13 
CSGPCoStar Group 0.41 10 per month 1.56 (0.02) 2.52 (2.50) 8.14 
TCITranscontinental Realty Investors(0.07)8 per month 0.00 (0.07) 2.78 (3.82) 11.94 
HOUSAnywhere Real Estate(0.12)10 per month 3.09  0.11  7.33 (5.35) 28.80 
RMAXRe Max Holding 0.18 10 per month 2.44  0.12  7.18 (4.66) 21.68 

Colliers International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Colliers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Colliers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Colliers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Colliers International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Colliers International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Colliers International Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Colliers International based on analysis of Colliers International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Colliers International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Colliers International's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield6.54E-40.0031490.0023820.002263
Price To Sales Ratio1.560.91.311.37

Story Coverage note for Colliers International

The number of cover stories for Colliers International depends on current market conditions and Colliers International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Colliers International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Colliers International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Colliers International Short Properties

Colliers International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Colliers International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Colliers International Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Colliers International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colliers International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding46.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments218 M

Complementary Tools for Colliers Stock analysis

When running Colliers International's price analysis, check to measure Colliers International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Colliers International is operating at the current time. Most of Colliers International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Colliers International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Colliers International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Colliers International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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