Circor Stock Future Price Prediction

CIR
 Stock
  

USD 17.51  1.02  6.19%   

Circor International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Circor International shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Circor International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Circor International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Circor International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Circor International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Circor International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Circor International based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Circor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Circor International over a specific investment horizon.Using Circor International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Circor International from the perspective of Circor International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Circor International using Circor International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Circor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Circor International's stock price.

Circor International Implied Volatility

    
  39.32  
Circor International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Circor International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Circor International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Circor International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Circor International's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Circor International. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Circor International to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Circor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Circor International after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 17.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Circor contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Circor International will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.46% per day over the life of the 2022-10-21 option contract. With Circor International trading at $17.51, that is roughly $0.43. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Circor International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Circor International options at the current volatility level of 39.32%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Circor International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Circor International in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
15.7622.8226.98
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
37.0039.0041.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Circor International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Circor International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Circor International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Circor International.

Circor International After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Circor International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Circor International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Circor International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Circor International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Circor International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Circor International's historical news coverage. Circor International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.45 and 21.77, respectively. We have considered Circor International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 17.51
17.61
After-hype Price
21.77
Upside
Circor International is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Circor International is based on 3 months time horizon.

Circor International Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Circor International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Circor International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Circor International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.19  4.19  0.19    0.51  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
17.5117.610.57 
423.23  

Circor International Hype Timeline

On the 3rd of October Circor International is traded for 17.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.51. Circor is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 17.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.57% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Circor International is about 156.34% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 17.0. The company reported the last year's revenue of 758.67 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (63.04 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 230.97 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 6 days.
Continue to Circor International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Circor International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Circor International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Circor International's future price movements. Getting to know how Circor International rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Circor International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMZNAmazon Inc(2.68) 10 per month 2.41  0.08  3.91 (3.62)  17.42 

Circor International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Circor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Circor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Circor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Circor International Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Circor International stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Circor International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Circor International based on analysis of Circor International hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Circor International's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Circor International's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Circor International

The number of cover stories for Circor International depends on current market conditions and Circor International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Circor International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Circor International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Circor International Short Properties

Circor International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Circor International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Circor International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Circor International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Circor International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out2.23%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.04
Short Percent Of Float2.68%
Float Shares20.01M
Shares Short Prior Month476.38k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day184.36k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month142.64k
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.26%
Continue to Circor International Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Circor International price analysis, check to measure Circor International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Circor International is operating at the current time. Most of Circor International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Circor International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Circor International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Circor International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Circor International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Circor International. If investors know Circor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Circor International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Circor International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Circor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Circor International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Circor International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Circor International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Circor International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Circor International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Circor International value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Circor International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.