Colgate Stock Future Price Prediction

CL -  USA Stock  

USD 77.76  0.05  0.06%

Colgate-Palmolive stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Colgate Palmolive shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Colgate Palmolive's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Colgate Palmolive and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Colgate Palmolive's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Colgate-Palmolive, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Colgate Palmolive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Colgate Price Prediction 

 
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Colgate Palmolive based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Colgate stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Colgate Palmolive over a specific investment horizon. Using Colgate Palmolive hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Colgate-Palmolive from the perspective of Colgate Palmolive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Colgate Palmolive using Colgate Palmolive's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Colgate using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Colgate Palmolive's stock price.
Colgate Palmolive Inventory Turnover is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Inventory Turnover is estimated at 5.16. Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to hike to 14.25 this year, although the value of Operating Margin will most likely fall to 21.61.

Colgate Palmolive Implied Volatility

    
  8.2  
Colgate Palmolive's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Colgate-Palmolive stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Colgate Palmolive's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Colgate Palmolive stock will not fluctuate a lot when Colgate Palmolive's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Colgate Palmolive. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Colgate Palmolive to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Colgate because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Colgate Palmolive after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 77.77  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Colgate Palmolive's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Colgate Palmolive in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
69.9880.6981.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
77.2478.1579.06
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
77.0084.3695.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (6)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.183.223.25
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Colgate Palmolive. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Colgate Palmolive's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Colgate Palmolive's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Colgate-Palmolive.

Colgate Palmolive After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Colgate Palmolive at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Colgate Palmolive or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Colgate Palmolive, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Colgate Palmolive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Colgate Palmolive's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Colgate Palmolive's historical news coverage. Colgate Palmolive's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.86 and 78.68, respectively. We have considered Colgate Palmolive's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
77.76
9th of December 2021
77.77
After-hype Price
78.68
Upside
Colgate Palmolive is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Colgate-Palmolive is based on 3 months time horizon.

Colgate Palmolive Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Colgate Palmolive is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Colgate Palmolive backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Colgate Palmolive, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03  0.91  0.01   0.03  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
77.7677.770.01 
313.79  

Colgate Palmolive Hype Timeline

As of December 9, 2021 Colgate-Palmolive is listed for 77.76. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Colgate is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 77.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is projected to be 0.01% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Colgate Palmolive is about 105.99% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 77.73. The company generated the yearly revenue of 17.34 B. Reported Net Income was 2.66 B with gross profit of 10.02 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Colgate Palmolive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Colgate Palmolive Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Colgate Palmolive's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Colgate Palmolive's future price movements. Getting to know how Colgate Palmolive rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Colgate Palmolive may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CLX
Clorox Company(2.15) 10 per month 1.31 (0.0133)  1.75 (2.06)  7.38 
EL
Estee Lauder Companies(2.86) 10 per month 1.46  0.0385  3.54 (2.62)  8.70 
ELF
ELF Beauty 0.35 9 per month 2.21  0.0156  2.82 (3.10)  11.98 
KMB
Kimberly-Clark Corp(0.40) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0426)  1.70 (2.20)  5.93 
MTEX
Mannatech 0.50 8 per month 4.31  0.05  6.54 (8.05)  27.44 
IPAR
Inter Parfums(1.19) 9 per month 1.34  0.18  3.79 (2.43)  11.76 
NATR
Nature S Sunshine(0.26) 8 per month 2.00  0.022  3.52 (3.72)  13.26 

Colgate Palmolive Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Colgate price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Colgate using various technical indicators. When you analyze Colgate charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Colgate Palmolive Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Colgate Palmolive stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Colgate-Palmolive, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Colgate Palmolive based on analysis of Colgate Palmolive hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Colgate Palmolive's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Colgate Palmolive's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity9.8710.29
Interest Coverage23.6324.25

Story Coverage note for Colgate Palmolive

The number of cover stories for Colgate Palmolive depends on current market conditions and Colgate Palmolive's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Colgate Palmolive is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Colgate Palmolive's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Colgate Palmolive Short Properties

Colgate Palmolive's future price predictability will typically decrease when Colgate Palmolive's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Colgate-Palmolive often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Colgate Palmolive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colgate Palmolive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.06%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate1.76
Short Percent Of Float1.13%
Float Shares789.72M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day4.15M
Shares Short Prior Month8.05M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month4.04M
Date Short Interest29th of October 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield2.33%
Continue to Colgate Palmolive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Colgate-Palmolive information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Colgate Palmolive's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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Is Colgate Palmolive's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Colgate Palmolive. If investors know Colgate will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Colgate Palmolive listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Colgate-Palmolive is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Colgate that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Colgate Palmolive's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Colgate Palmolive's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Colgate Palmolive's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Colgate Palmolive's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Colgate Palmolive's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Colgate Palmolive value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Colgate Palmolive's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.