Coles OTC Stock Future Price Prediction

CLEGF
 Stock
  

USD 13.29  0.24  1.84%   

Coles Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Coles shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Coles' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Coles and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Coles' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Coles Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Coles Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Coles based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Coles stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Coles over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.021
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.01
Using Coles hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Coles Group from the perspective of Coles response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Coles. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Coles to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Coles because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Coles after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 13.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coles' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Coles in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
11.6312.9614.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
12.0513.3714.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.9513.1913.42
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Coles. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Coles' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Coles' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Coles Group.

Coles After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Coles at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Coles or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Coles, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Coles Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Coles' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Coles' historical news coverage. Coles' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.96 and 14.62, respectively. We have considered Coles' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 13.29
13.29
After-hype Price
14.62
Upside
Coles is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Coles Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Coles OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Coles is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Coles backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Coles, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.02  1.33  0.00   0.00  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.2913.290.00 
0.00  

Coles Hype Timeline

Coles Group is currently traded for 13.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Coles forecasted not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of about 0.0%. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Coles is about 1023.08%. The volatility of related hype on Coles is about 1023.08% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 13.29. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 3rd of March 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecastedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Continue to Coles Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Coles Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Coles' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Coles' future price movements. Getting to know how Coles rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Coles may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
PFEPfizer Inc(0.13) 10 per month 1.67  0.0261  2.93 (2.43)  7.74 

Coles Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Coles price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Coles using various technical indicators. When you analyze Coles charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Coles Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Coles stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Coles Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Coles based on analysis of Coles hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Coles's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Coles's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Coles

The number of cover stories for Coles depends on current market conditions and Coles' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Coles is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Coles' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Coles Short Properties

Coles' future price predictability will typically decrease when Coles' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Coles Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Coles' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coles' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Last Dividend Date3rd of March 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.61
Float Shares1.26B
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day28
Average Daily Volume In Three Month111
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield4.67%
Continue to Coles Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Coles Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Coles' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.

Complementary Tools for Coles OTC Stock analysis

When running Coles Group price analysis, check to measure Coles' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Coles is operating at the current time. Most of Coles' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Coles' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Coles' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Coles to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Coles' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coles. If investors know Coles will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coles listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
-0.021
Market Capitalization
17.8 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.01
Return On Assets
0.0577
Return On Equity
0.34
The market value of Coles Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coles that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coles' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coles' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coles' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coles' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coles' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Coles value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coles' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.