Celestica Stock Price Prediction

CLS -  USA Stock  

USD 7.77  0.28  3.48%

Celestica stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Celestica shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Celestica stock future price could yield a significant profit.
We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Celestica, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Continue to Celestica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Celestica based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Celestica stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Celestica over a specific investment horizon. Using Celestica hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Celestica from the perspective of Celestica response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Celestica Profit Margin is relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Celestica reported last year Profit Margin of 0.011. As of 06/20/2021, Price to Book Value is likely to grow to 0.91, while Debt to Equity Ratio is likely to drop 1.58.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Celestica. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Celestica to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Celestica because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Celestica after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 10.21  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Celestica's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Celestica in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
5.369.8114.26
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.3410.7915.24
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
7.008.259.50
Details
Earnings
Estimates (2)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.940.940.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Celestica. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Celestica's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Celestica's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Celestica.

Celestica After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Celestica at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Celestica or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Celestica, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Celestica Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Celestica's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Celestica's historical news coverage. Celestica's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.76 and 14.66, respectively. We have considered Celestica's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.77
20th of June 2021
10.21
After-hype Price
14.66
Upside
Celestica is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Celestica is based on 3 months time horizon.

Celestica Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Celestica is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Celestica backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Celestica, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.36  4.45  0.07   0.12  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.7710.210.58 
2,225  

Celestica Hype Timeline

On the 20th of June Celestica is traded for 7.77. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.12. Celestica is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 10.21. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.58% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Celestica is about 1352.58% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.65. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.71. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Celestica has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.28. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 2:1 split on the 22nd of December 1999. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Celestica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Celestica Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Celestica's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Celestica's future price movements. Getting to know how Celestica rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Celestica may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Fabrinet 0.23 8 per month 0.00 (0.0166)  2.40 (2.85)  13.26 
Micron Technology(2.34) 10 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.70 (5.21)  10.73 
On Semiconductor(0.72) 10 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.96 (4.25)  11.29 
Deswell Inds 0.01 5 per month 0.99  0.21  3.35 (1.89)  9.87 
Eltek(0.61) 9 per month 3.76  0.0374  4.89 (5.50)  28.30 
Flextronics Intl(0.16) 8 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.23 (3.45)  12.34 
Amphenol Corp 0.04 10 per month 1.23  0.0017  1.76 (1.65)  6.31 
Atotech Limited 0.35 1 per month 2.11  0.1  4.37 (3.52)  11.32 
Benchmark Electronics(0.29) 8 per month 0.00 (0.11)  2.81 (2.66)  6.49 
Celestica 0.20 9 per month 1.66  0.08  2.38 (3.35)  8.18 

Celestica Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Celestica price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Celestica using various technical indicators. When you analyze Celestica charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Celestica Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Celestica stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Celestica, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Celestica based on analysis of Celestica hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Celestica's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Celestica's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share9.5610.3510.9110.51
Asset Turnover1.981.611.591.71

Story Coverage note for Celestica

The number of cover stories for Celestica depends on current market conditions and Celestica's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Celestica is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Celestica's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Celestica

Celestica Short Properties

Celestica's future price predictability will typically decrease when Celestica's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Celestica often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Celestica's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Celestica's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.83%
Short Percent Of Float1.15%
Float Shares107.91M
Shares Short Prior Month902.02k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day207.06k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month312.88k
Date Short Interest14th of May 2021
Continue to Celestica Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Celestica information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Celestica's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

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When running Celestica price analysis, check to measure Celestica's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Celestica is operating at the current time. Most of Celestica's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Celestica's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Celestica's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Celestica to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Celestica is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Celestica that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Celestica's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Celestica's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Celestica's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Celestica underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Celestica's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Celestica value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Celestica's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.