Cumulus Media Class Stock Price Prediction

CMLS Stock  USD 3.59  0.36  11.15%   
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of Cumulus Media's share price is approaching 41 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cumulus Media, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Cumulus Media Class stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cumulus Media shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cumulus Media's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cumulus Media and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cumulus Media's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cumulus Media Class, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cumulus Media's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.68)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.80)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.96)
Wall Street Target Price
11
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cumulus Media based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cumulus stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cumulus Media over a specific investment horizon. Using Cumulus Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cumulus Media Class from the perspective of Cumulus Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cumulus Media using Cumulus Media's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cumulus using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cumulus Media's stock price.

Cumulus Media Implied Volatility

    
  269.41  
Cumulus Media's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cumulus Media Class stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cumulus Media's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cumulus Media stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cumulus Media's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cumulus Media. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cumulus Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cumulus because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Cumulus Media after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 3.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Cumulus Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cumulus Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.244.749.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.298.11
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
7.898.679.62
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.7-1.39-1.09
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Cumulus Media. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Cumulus Media's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Cumulus Media's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Cumulus Media Class.

Cumulus Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Cumulus Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cumulus Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cumulus Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Cumulus Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Cumulus Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cumulus Media's historical news coverage. Cumulus Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.17 and 8.26, respectively. We have considered Cumulus Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3.59
3.44
After-hype Price
8.26
Upside
Cumulus Media is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cumulus Media Class is based on 3 months time horizon.

Cumulus Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cumulus Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cumulus Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cumulus Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.42 
4.80
  0.12 
  0.06 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.59
3.44
4.18 
1,714  
Notes

Cumulus Media Hype Timeline

Cumulus Media Class is currently traded for 3.59. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Cumulus is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 3.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -4.18%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Cumulus Media is about 3368.42%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.53. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.19. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cumulus Media Class has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.54. The entity recorded a loss per share of 6.83. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Cumulus Media had 1:8 split on the 13th of October 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Cumulus Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Cumulus Media Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Cumulus Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cumulus Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Cumulus Media rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cumulus Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
VALNValneva SE ADR 0.27 7 per month 0.00 (0.12) 5.47 (4.94) 19.42 
CDWCDW Corp(0.54)10 per month 0.77  0.05  2.58 (1.52) 4.95 
GCTKGlucoTrack 0.00 4 per month 2.96  0.05  7.69 (4.55) 21.98 
DHDefinitive Healthcare Corp(0.46)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.45 (5.87) 13.17 
CALTCalliditas Therapeutics(0.07)6 per month 0.00 (0.15) 5.03 (4.29) 18.03 
KLTRKaltura 0.06 8 per month 0.00 (0.20) 6.02 (5.67) 18.58 
PINSPinterest(0.40)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 3.48 (3.03) 15.23 
OMHEOmni Health 0.00 3 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

Cumulus Media Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Cumulus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cumulus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cumulus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Cumulus Media Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Cumulus Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cumulus Media Class, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cumulus Media based on analysis of Cumulus Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cumulus Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cumulus Media's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01460.0139
Price To Sales Ratio0.110.1

Story Coverage note for Cumulus Media

The number of cover stories for Cumulus Media depends on current market conditions and Cumulus Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cumulus Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cumulus Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Cumulus Media Short Properties

Cumulus Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cumulus Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cumulus Media Class often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cumulus Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cumulus Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding17.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments80.7 M
When determining whether Cumulus Media Class is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cumulus Media's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cumulus Media's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cumulus Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cumulus Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.

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When running Cumulus Media's price analysis, check to measure Cumulus Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cumulus Media is operating at the current time. Most of Cumulus Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cumulus Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cumulus Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cumulus Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cumulus Media's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cumulus Media. If investors know Cumulus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cumulus Media listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.64)
Earnings Share
(6.83)
Revenue Per Share
48.905
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
0.0097
The market value of Cumulus Media Class is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cumulus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cumulus Media's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cumulus Media's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cumulus Media's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cumulus Media's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cumulus Media's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cumulus Media is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cumulus Media's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.