Comtech Stock Future Price Prediction

CMTL Stock  USD 16.52  0.17  1.02%   
Comtech Telecommunicatio stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Comtech Telecommunicatio shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Comtech Telecommunicatio and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Comtech Telecommunicatio's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Comtech Telecommunications Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Comtech Telecommunicatio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Comtech Telecommunicatio based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Comtech stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Comtech Telecommunicatio over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.87
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.62) 
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.08) 
Wall Street Target Price
15.4
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.10) 
Using Comtech Telecommunicatio hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Comtech Telecommunications Corp from the perspective of Comtech Telecommunicatio response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Comtech Telecommunicatio using Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Comtech using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock price.
Comtech Telecommunicatio Inventory Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Inventory Turnover is estimated at 3.43. Accounts Payable Turnover is expected to rise to 13.04 this year, although the value of Return on Investment will most likely fall to (5.67) .

Comtech Telecommunicatio Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Comtech Telecommunicatio's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Comtech. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Comtech Telecommunicatio stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Comtech Telecommunicatio may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Comtech Telecommunicatio and may potentially protect profits, hedge Comtech Telecommunicatio with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
11.6824
Short Percent
0.0095
Short Ratio
0.96
Shares Short Prior Month
271.5 K
50 Day MA
13.1886

Comtech Telecommunicatio Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Comtech Telecommunicatio's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Comtech. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Comtech can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Comtech Telecommunications Corp. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Comtech Telecommunicatio's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Comtech Telecommunicatio.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Implied Volatility

    
  51.24  
Comtech Telecommunicatio's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Comtech Telecommunications Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Comtech Telecommunicatio's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Comtech Telecommunicatio stock will not fluctuate a lot when Comtech Telecommunicatio's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Comtech Telecommunicatio. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Comtech Telecommunicatio to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Comtech because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Comtech Telecommunicatio after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.3  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comtech Telecommunicatio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Comtech Telecommunicatio in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
14.8720.2522.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
14.1216.6919.25
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
27.0030.3336.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.2614.2817.29
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Comtech Telecommunicatio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Comtech Telecommunicatio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Comtech Telecommunicatio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Comtech Telecommunicatio.

Comtech Telecommunicatio After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Comtech Telecommunicatio at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Comtech Telecommunicatio or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Comtech Telecommunicatio, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Comtech Telecommunicatio Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Comtech Telecommunicatio's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Comtech Telecommunicatio's historical news coverage. Comtech Telecommunicatio's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.74 and 18.86, respectively. We have considered Comtech Telecommunicatio's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 16.52
16.30
After-hype Price
18.86
Upside
Comtech Telecommunicatio is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Comtech Telecommunicatio is based on 3 months time horizon.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Comtech Telecommunicatio is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Comtech Telecommunicatio backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Comtech Telecommunicatio, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.83  2.56   0.22   0.11  9 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.5216.301.33 
984.62  

Comtech Telecommunicatio Hype Timeline

Comtech Telecommunicatio is currently traded for 16.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.22 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Comtech is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 16.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -1.33% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.83%. The volatility of related hype on Comtech Telecommunicatio is about 2013.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.63. About 75.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.8. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Comtech Telecommunicatio has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 328.11. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.11. The firm last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2023. Comtech Telecommunicatio had 3:2 split on the 5th of April 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Continue to Comtech Telecommunicatio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Comtech Telecommunicatio's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price movements. Getting to know how Comtech Telecommunicatio rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Comtech Telecommunicatio may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AAMCAltisource Asset Management 0.84 3 per month 2.87  0.24  10.04 (4.27)  25.23 
RSVRWReservoir Media Management 0.01 6 per month 3.04  0.16  6.92 (5.93)  35.09 
TANNLTravelCenters Of America 0.09 2 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.00 (0.40)  1.83 
XIAXFXiabuxiabu Catering Management 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NLY-PIAnnaly Capital Management 0.00 0 per month 0.61  0.09  2.24 (1.24)  5.60 
RMRegional Management Corp(0.47) 9 per month 3.27  0.0098  3.71 (3.46)  14.58 
AAM-PBApollo Global Management 0.42 6 per month 1.66  0.06  3.88 (2.44)  14.38 

Comtech Telecommunicatio Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Comtech price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Comtech using various technical indicators. When you analyze Comtech charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Comtech Telecommunicatio Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Comtech Telecommunicatio stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Comtech Telecommunications Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Comtech Telecommunicatio based on analysis of Comtech Telecommunicatio hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Comtech Telecommunicatio's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Comtech Telecommunicatio's related companies.
 2022 2023 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.260.34
Interest Coverage2.332.39

Story Coverage note for Comtech Telecommunicatio

The number of cover stories for Comtech Telecommunicatio depends on current market conditions and Comtech Telecommunicatio's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Comtech Telecommunicatio is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Comtech Telecommunicatio's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Comtech Telecommunicatio Short Properties

Comtech Telecommunicatio's future price predictability will typically decrease when Comtech Telecommunicatio's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Comtech Telecommunications Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Comtech Telecommunicatio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comtech Telecommunicatio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments21.7 M
Continue to Comtech Telecommunicatio Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.

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Is Comtech Telecommunicatio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Comtech Telecommunicatio. If investors know Comtech will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Comtech Telecommunicatio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
5.87
Market Capitalization
458.8 M
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.123
Return On Assets
(0.0027) 
Return On Equity
(0.07) 
The market value of Comtech Telecommunicatio is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Comtech that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Comtech Telecommunicatio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Comtech Telecommunicatio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Comtech Telecommunicatio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Comtech Telecommunicatio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Comtech Telecommunicatio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Comtech Telecommunicatio value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Comtech Telecommunicatio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.