CNA Financial Stock Future Price Prediction

CNA Stock  USD 38.53  0.50  1.31%   
CNA Financial stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CNA Financial shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CNA Financial's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CNA Financial and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CNA Financial's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CNA Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Check out CNA Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CNA Financial Stock refer to our How to Trade CNA Financial Stock guide.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CNA Financial based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CNA Financial stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CNA Financial over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
Using CNA Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CNA Financial from the perspective of CNA Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CNA Financial using CNA Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CNA Financial using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CNA Financial's stock price.
CNA Financial Calculated Tax Rate is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 17.30. The current year Cash and Equivalents Turnover is expected to grow to 24.12, whereas PPandE Turnover is forecasted to decline to 42.10.

CNA Financial Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in CNA Financial's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CNA Financial. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CNA Financial stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long CNA Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CNA Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge CNA Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
743.5 K
50 Day MA

CNA Financial Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to CNA Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in CNA Financial. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CNA Financial can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CNA Financial. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CNA Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CNA Financial.

CNA Financial Implied Volatility

CNA Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CNA Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CNA Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CNA Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when CNA Financial's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CNA Financial. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CNA Financial to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CNA Financial because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

CNA Financial after-hype prediction price

  USD 38.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CNA Financial contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CNA Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.23% per day over the life of the 2023-04-21 option contract. With CNA Financial trading at USD38.53, that is roughly USD0.86. If you think that the market is fully incorporating CNA Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CNA Financial options at the current volatility level of 35.74%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of CNA Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of CNA Financial in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
3 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (3)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as CNA Financial. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against CNA Financial's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, CNA Financial's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in CNA Financial.

CNA Financial After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of CNA Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CNA Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CNA Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

CNA Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting CNA Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CNA Financial's historical news coverage. CNA Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 36.77 and 40.23, respectively. We have considered CNA Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 38.53
After-hype Price
CNA Financial is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CNA Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

CNA Financial Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as CNA Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CNA Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CNA Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13  1.72  0.01   0.05  10 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

CNA Financial Hype Timeline

On the 29th of March CNA Financial is traded for 38.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. CNA Financial is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 38.5 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.03% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on CNA Financial is about 462.78% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 38.58. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.88 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 894 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 4 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out CNA Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CNA Financial Stock refer to our How to Trade CNA Financial Stock guide.

CNA Financial Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to CNA Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CNA Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how CNA Financial rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CNA Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

CNA Financial Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CNA Financial price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CNA Financial using various technical indicators. When you analyze CNA Financial charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About CNA Financial Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of CNA Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CNA Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CNA Financial based on analysis of CNA Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CNA Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CNA Financial's related companies.
 2020 2021 2022 2023 (projected)
PPandE Turnover40.3749.8252.5642.1
Calculated Tax Rate15.9619.017.322.28

Story Coverage note for CNA Financial

The number of cover stories for CNA Financial depends on current market conditions and CNA Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CNA Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CNA Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

CNA Financial Short Properties

CNA Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when CNA Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CNA Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CNA Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CNA Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding272.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.4 B
Check out CNA Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade CNA Financial Stock refer to our How to Trade CNA Financial Stock guide. You can also try Bond Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

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When running CNA Financial price analysis, check to measure CNA Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CNA Financial is operating at the current time. Most of CNA Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CNA Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CNA Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CNA Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CNA Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CNA Financial. If investors know CNA Financial will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CNA Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Dividend Share
Earnings Share
Revenue Per Share
Quarterly Revenue Growth
The market value of CNA Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CNA Financial that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CNA Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CNA Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CNA Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CNA Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CNA Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine CNA Financial value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CNA Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.