Vita Coco Stock Price Prediction
| COCO Stock | USD 23.08 0.30 1.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Vita Coco stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vita Coco shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vita Coco's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vita Coco and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vita Coco's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vita Coco, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vita Coco's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.15 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.89 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.04 | Wall Street Target Price 29.89 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Vita Coco based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Vita stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vita Coco over a specific investment horizon. Using Vita Coco hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vita Coco from the perspective of Vita Coco response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Vita Coco using Vita Coco's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Vita using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Vita Coco's stock price.
Vita Coco Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Vita Coco's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Vita. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Vita Coco stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Vita Coco may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Vita Coco and may potentially protect profits, hedge Vita Coco with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 25.6266 | Short Percent 0.1827 | Short Ratio 7.88 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.2 M | 50 Day MA 23.9562 |
Vita Coco Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Vita Coco's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Vita. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Vita can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Vita Coco. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Vita Coco's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Vita Coco.
Vita Coco Implied Volatility | 61.25 |
Vita Coco's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Vita Coco stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Vita Coco's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Vita Coco stock will not fluctuate a lot when Vita Coco's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Vita Coco. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vita Coco to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vita because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Vita Coco after-hype prediction price | USD 23.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Vita |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vita Coco's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vita Coco After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Vita Coco at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vita Coco or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vita Coco, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Vita Coco Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Vita Coco's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vita Coco's historical news coverage. Vita Coco's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.55 and 25.81, respectively. We have considered Vita Coco's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Vita Coco is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vita Coco is based on 3 months time horizon.
Vita Coco Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vita Coco is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vita Coco backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vita Coco, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.65 | 0.09 | 0.02 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.08 | 23.18 | 0.43 |
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Vita Coco Hype Timeline
Vita Coco is currently traded for 23.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Vita is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 23.18 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.43%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Vita Coco is about 2564.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 23.06. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 493.61 M. Net Income was 46.63 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 103.36 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Vita Coco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Vita Coco Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Vita Coco's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vita Coco's future price movements. Getting to know how Vita Coco's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vita Coco may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRMW | Primo Water Corp | 0.40 | 9 per month | 0.71 | 0.23 | 2.93 | (1.84) | 5.35 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | (2.05) | 10 per month | 1.49 | (0.01) | 2.62 | (2.07) | 9.62 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.86 | (0.05) | 1.47 | (1.52) | 6.73 | |
| AKO-B | Embotelladora Andina SA | (0.30) | 3 per month | 2.71 | 0.02 | 3.87 | (4.54) | 17.74 | |
| MNST | Monster Beverage Corp | (0.73) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 1.72 | (1.67) | 8.42 | |
| PEP | PepsiCo | 0.47 | 7 per month | 0.90 | (0.01) | 1.65 | (1.22) | 5.44 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | (0.67) | 9 per month | 0.68 | (0.08) | 1.20 | (1.02) | 3.85 | |
| CELH | Celsius Holdings | 1.60 | 10 per month | 3.47 | 0.05 | 5.62 | (4.41) | 28.98 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.33 | (0.07) | 1.81 | (1.95) | 5.62 |
Vita Coco Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Vita price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vita using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vita charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Vita Coco Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Vita Coco stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vita Coco, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vita Coco based on analysis of Vita Coco hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vita Coco's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vita Coco's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0772 | 0.004346 | 0.003911 | 0.003716 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.64 | 1.8 | 2.93 | 2.52 |
Story Coverage note for Vita Coco
The number of cover stories for Vita Coco depends on current market conditions and Vita Coco's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vita Coco is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vita Coco's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Vita Coco Short Properties
Vita Coco's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vita Coco's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vita Coco often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vita Coco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vita Coco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 132.9 M |
Check out Vita Coco Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Vita Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vita Coco guide.Note that the Vita Coco information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vita Coco's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Vita Stock analysis
When running Vita Coco's price analysis, check to measure Vita Coco's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vita Coco is operating at the current time. Most of Vita Coco's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vita Coco's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vita Coco's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vita Coco to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vita Coco's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vita Coco. If investors know Vita will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vita Coco listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1 | Earnings Share 0.79 | Revenue Per Share 8.748 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.154 | Return On Assets 0.147 |
The market value of Vita Coco is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vita that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vita Coco's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vita Coco's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vita Coco's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vita Coco's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vita Coco's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vita Coco is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vita Coco's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.