China Stock Future Price Prediction

COE -  USA Stock  

USD 2.70  0.17  5.92%

China Online Education stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of China Online shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of China Online's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of China Online and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from China Online's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with China Online Education, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to China Online Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of China Online based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The China stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on China Online over a specific investment horizon. Using China Online hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of China Online Education from the perspective of China Online response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
China Online Current Ratio is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. The past year's Current Ratio was at 0.54. The current year EBITDA Margin is expected to grow to 0.09, whereas Debt to Equity Ratio is forecasted to decline to (3.83) .
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in China Online. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in China Online to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying China because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

China Online after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 2.0727777777777776  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of China Online's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of China Online in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
1.199.7518.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0465672.3310.89
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
29.0030.5032.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.176.069.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as China Online. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against China Online's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, China Online's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in China Online Education.

China Online After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of China Online at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in China Online or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of China Online, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

China Online Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting China Online's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on China Online's historical news coverage. China Online's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 10.63, respectively. We have considered China Online's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.70
2nd of August 2021
2.07
After-hype Price
10.63
Upside
China Online is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of China Online Education is based on 3 months time horizon.

China Online Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as China Online is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading China Online backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with China Online, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 2.60  8.56  2.44   0.36  8 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.702.0727.78 
910.64  

China Online Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of August China Online Education is traded for 2.70. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.44 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.36. China is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 2.0727777777777776. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -27.78% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -2.6%. The volatility of related hype on China Online is about 6263.41% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 3.06. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimatedpress releasewill be in about 8 days.
Continue to China Online Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

China Online Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to China Online's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict China Online's future price movements. Getting to know how China Online rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how China Online may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

China Online Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine China price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for China using various technical indicators. When you analyze China charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About China Online Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of China Online stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as China Online Education, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of China Online based on analysis of China Online hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to China Online's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to China Online's related companies.

Story Coverage note for China Online

The number of cover stories for China Online depends on current market conditions and China Online's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that China Online is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about China Online's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on China Online

China Online Short Properties

China Online's future price predictability will typically decrease when China Online's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of China Online Education often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential China Online's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. China Online's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.20%
Float Shares3.65M
Shares Short Prior Month42.88k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day370.97k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month129.15k
Date Short Interest28th of May 2021
Continue to China Online Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the China Online Education information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other China Online's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.

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When running China Online Education price analysis, check to measure China Online's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy China Online is operating at the current time. Most of China Online's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of China Online's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move China Online's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of China Online to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of China Online Education is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of China that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of China Online's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is China Online's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because China Online's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect China Online Education underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between China Online's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine China Online value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, China Online's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.