Capital One Financial Preferred Stock Price Prediction
| COF-PI Preferred Stock | USD 19.38 0.12 0.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
47
Oversold | Overbought |
Capital One Financial preferred stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Capital One shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Capital One's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Capital One and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Capital One's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Capital One Financial, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether preferred stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Capital One based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Capital stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Capital One over a specific investment horizon. Using Capital One hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Capital One Financial from the perspective of Capital One response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Capital One. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Capital One to buy its preferred stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Capital because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell preferred stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Capital One after-hype prediction price | USD 19.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as preferred stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Capital |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital One's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Capital One After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Capital One at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Capital One or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Preferred Stock prices, such as prices of Capital One, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Capital One Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Capital One's preferred stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Capital One's historical news coverage. Capital One's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.34 and 20.42, respectively. We have considered Capital One's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Capital One is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Capital One Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Capital One Preferred Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Capital One is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Capital One backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Preferred Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Capital One, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.38 | 19.38 | 0.00 |
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Capital One Hype Timeline
Capital One Financial is currently traded for 19.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Capital is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Capital One is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.38. About 21.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 25.57. Capital One Financial last dividend was issued on the 13th of February 2023. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Capital One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Capital One Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Capital One's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Capital One's future price movements. Getting to know how Capital One's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Capital One may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COF-PJ | Capital One Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | (0.04) | 1.69 | (1.69) | 6.26 | |
| CFG-PE | Citizens Financial Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.26 | (2.01) | 6.77 | |
| WFC-PZ | Wells Fargo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | (0.03) | 1.15 | (1.69) | 4.70 | |
| EQH-PA | Equitable Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.02 | (1.29) | 5.52 |
Capital One Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Capital price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Capital using various technical indicators. When you analyze Capital charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Capital One Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Capital One stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Capital One Financial, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Capital One based on analysis of Capital One hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Capital One's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Capital One's related companies. Story Coverage note for Capital One
The number of cover stories for Capital One depends on current market conditions and Capital One's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Capital One is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Capital One's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Capital One Short Properties
Capital One's future price predictability will typically decrease when Capital One's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Capital One Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Capital One's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Capital One's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 381.3 M |
Check out Capital One Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Capital One Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Capital One's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Capital Preferred Stock analysis
When running Capital One's price analysis, check to measure Capital One's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Capital One is operating at the current time. Most of Capital One's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Capital One's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Capital One's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Capital One to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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