Cresud Sacif Y Stock Price Prediction
| CRESY Stock | USD 9.14 0.37 3.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
66
Oversold | Overbought |
Cresud SACIF y stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Cresud SACIF shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Cresud SACIF's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Cresud SACIF and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Cresud SACIF's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Cresud SACIF y, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Cresud SACIF's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.927 | Wall Street Target Price 9.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Cresud SACIF based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Cresud stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Cresud SACIF over a specific investment horizon. Using Cresud SACIF hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cresud SACIF y from the perspective of Cresud SACIF response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Cresud SACIF using Cresud SACIF's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Cresud using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Cresud SACIF's stock price.
Cresud SACIF Implied Volatility | 49.54 |
Cresud SACIF's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Cresud SACIF y stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Cresud SACIF's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Cresud SACIF stock will not fluctuate a lot when Cresud SACIF's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Cresud SACIF. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Cresud SACIF to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Cresud because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Cresud SACIF after-hype prediction price | USD 9.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cresud |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cresud SACIF's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cresud SACIF After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cresud SACIF at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cresud SACIF or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cresud SACIF, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cresud SACIF Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cresud SACIF's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cresud SACIF's historical news coverage. Cresud SACIF's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.64 and 11.64, respectively. We have considered Cresud SACIF's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cresud SACIF is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cresud SACIF y is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cresud SACIF Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cresud SACIF is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cresud SACIF backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cresud SACIF, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.14 | 9.14 | 0.00 |
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Cresud SACIF Hype Timeline
Cresud SACIF y is currently traded for 9.14. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cresud is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Cresud SACIF is about 7411.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.14. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.0. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Cresud SACIF y last dividend was issued on the 6th of December 2023. The entity had 1022:1000 split on the 10th of May 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Cresud SACIF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Cresud SACIF Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cresud SACIF's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cresud SACIF's future price movements. Getting to know how Cresud SACIF's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cresud SACIF may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SPLP-PA | Steel Partners Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.29 | (0.1) | 0.84 | (0.71) | 1.87 | |
| CODI-PA | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | (0.01) | 1.99 | (1.64) | 6.27 | |
| BBU | Brookfield Business Partners | (0.69) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.91 | (2.52) | 9.34 | |
| MATW | Matthews International | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.82 | (3.98) | 10.47 | |
| SPLP | Steel Partners Holdings | 1.63 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.71 | (2.95) | 9.67 | |
| GFF | Griffon | (1.29) | 12 per month | 1.77 | 0.08 | 2.93 | (2.53) | 17.23 | |
| CODI | Compass Diversified Holdings | (0.20) | 12 per month | 1.34 | 0.03 | 2.72 | (2.18) | 8.46 | |
| CODI-PC | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | (0.09) | 1.37 | (1.09) | 4.05 | |
| CODI-PB | Compass Diversified | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.78 | 0.0005 | 1.52 | (1.10) | 5.17 | |
| MDU | MDU Resources Group | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.83 | 0.24 | 2.43 | (1.49) | 6.50 |
Cresud SACIF Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cresud price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cresud using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cresud charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Cresud SACIF Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Cresud SACIF stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Cresud SACIF y, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cresud SACIF based on analysis of Cresud SACIF hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Cresud SACIF's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Cresud SACIF's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.44 | 0.37 | 0.34 | 0.35 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.4 | 0.62 | 0.71 | 0.67 |
Story Coverage note for Cresud SACIF
The number of cover stories for Cresud SACIF depends on current market conditions and Cresud SACIF's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cresud SACIF is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cresud SACIF's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Cresud SACIF Short Properties
Cresud SACIF's future price predictability will typically decrease when Cresud SACIF's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Cresud SACIF y often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Cresud SACIF's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cresud SACIF's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 69.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 82.8 B |
Check out Cresud SACIF Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Complementary Tools for Cresud Stock analysis
When running Cresud SACIF's price analysis, check to measure Cresud SACIF's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cresud SACIF is operating at the current time. Most of Cresud SACIF's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cresud SACIF's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cresud SACIF's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cresud SACIF to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cresud SACIF's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cresud SACIF. If investors know Cresud will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cresud SACIF listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.927 | Dividend Share 53.961 | Earnings Share 0.99 | Revenue Per Share 3.1 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.002 |
The market value of Cresud SACIF y is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cresud that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cresud SACIF's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cresud SACIF's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cresud SACIF's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cresud SACIF's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cresud SACIF's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cresud SACIF is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cresud SACIF's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.