Americas Stock Future Price Prediction

CRMT -  USA Stock  

USD 161.04  2.04  1.28%

Americas Car-Mart stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Americas Car-Mart shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Americas Car-Mart's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Americas Car-Mart and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Americas Car-Mart's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Americas Car-Mart, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Americas Car-Mart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Search Price Prediction 

 
Refresh
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Americas Car-Mart based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Americas stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Americas Car-Mart over a specific investment horizon. Using Americas Car-Mart hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americas Car-Mart from the perspective of Americas Car-Mart response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Americas Car-Mart Quick Ratio is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. Americas Car-Mart reported Quick Ratio of 5.86 in 2020. Net Current Assets as percentage of Total Assets is likely to gain to 84.31 in 2021, whereas PPandE Turnover is likely to drop 22.89 in 2021.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Americas Car-Mart. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americas Car-Mart to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Americas Car-Mart after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 159.16  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Americas Car-Mart's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Americas Car-Mart in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
150.19153.00174.90
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
155.54158.35161.16
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
156.00174.00194.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
13.5314.2315.50
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Americas Car-Mart. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Americas Car-Mart's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Americas Car-Mart's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Americas Car-Mart.

Americas Car-Mart After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Americas Car-Mart at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americas Car-Mart or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Americas Car-Mart, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Americas Car-Mart Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Americas Car-Mart's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americas Car-Mart's historical news coverage. Americas Car-Mart's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 156.35 and 161.97, respectively. We have considered Americas Car-Mart's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
161.04
2nd of August 2021
156.35
Downside
159.16
After-hype Price
161.97
Upside
Americas Car-Mart is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americas Car-Mart is based on 3 months time horizon.

Americas Car-Mart Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Americas Car-Mart is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americas Car-Mart backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americas Car-Mart, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08  2.81  0.16   0.13  9 Events / Month2 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
161.04159.160.10 
139.11  

Americas Car-Mart Hype Timeline

Americas Car-Mart is currently traded for 161.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.13. Americas is expected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 159.16 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 139.11%. The price appreciation on the next news is forecasted to be 0.1% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Americas Car-Mart is about 172.04% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 161.17. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 918.61 M. Net Income was 104.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 275.8 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 9 days.
Continue to Americas Car-Mart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Americas Car-Mart Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Americas Car-Mart's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americas Car-Mart's future price movements. Getting to know how Americas Car-Mart rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americas Car-Mart may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Americas Car-Mart Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Americas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Americas Car-Mart Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Americas Car-Mart stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americas Car-Mart, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americas Car-Mart based on analysis of Americas Car-Mart hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americas Car-Mart's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americas Car-Mart's related companies.
 2018 2019 2020 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.590.710.56
Interest Coverage8.588.9820.71

Story Coverage note for Americas Car-Mart

The number of cover stories for Americas Car-Mart depends on current market conditions and Americas Car-Mart's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americas Car-Mart is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americas Car-Mart's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Contributor Headline

Latest Perspective on Americas Car-Mart

Americas Car-Mart Short Properties

Americas Car-Mart's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americas Car-Mart's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americas Car-Mart often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americas Car-Mart's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Car-Mart's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.57%
Short Percent Of Float4.72%
Float Shares6.16M
Shares Short Prior Month190.16k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day51.98k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month52.99k
Date Short Interest15th of June 2021
Continue to Americas Car-Mart Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Americas Car-Mart information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Americas Car-Mart's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.

Complementary Tools for Americas Stock analysis

When running Americas Car-Mart price analysis, check to measure Americas Car-Mart's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Car-Mart is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Car-Mart's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Car-Mart's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Car-Mart's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Car-Mart to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Go
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Go
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Go
Piotroski F Score
Get Piotroski F Score based on binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals
Go
Pair Correlation
Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments
Go
Equity Analysis
Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities
Go
CEO Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Go
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Go
The market value of Americas Car-Mart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Americas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Americas Car-Mart's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Americas Car-Mart's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Americas Car-Mart's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Americas Car-Mart underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Americas Car-Mart's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Americas Car-Mart value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Americas Car-Mart's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.