Americas Car Mart Stock Price Prediction

CRMT Stock  USD 60.24  2.25  3.60%   
At this time, the value of RSI of Americas Car's share price is approaching 47 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Americas Car's stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

47

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Americas Car-Mart stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Americas Car shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Americas Car's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Americas Car and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Americas Car's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Americas Car Mart, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Americas Car's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(4.64)
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.04
Wall Street Target Price
66
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.65)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Americas Car based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Americas stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Americas Car over a specific investment horizon. Using Americas Car hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Americas Car Mart from the perspective of Americas Car response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Americas Car-Mart Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Americas Car's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Americas. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Americas can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Americas Car Mart. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Americas Car's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Americas Car.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Americas Car. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Americas Car to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Americas because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Americas Car after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 59.69  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Americas Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Americas Car's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Americas Car in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.2273.5977.06
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
83.7292.00102.12
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-1.440.32-0.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Americas Car. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Americas Car's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Americas Car's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Americas Car-Mart.

Americas Car After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Americas Car at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Americas Car or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Americas Car, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Americas Car Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Americas Car's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Americas Car's historical news coverage. Americas Car's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 56.22 and 63.16, respectively. We have considered Americas Car's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
60.24
59.69
After-hype Price
63.16
Upside
Americas Car is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Americas Car-Mart is based on 3 months time horizon.

Americas Car Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Americas Car is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Americas Car backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Americas Car, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
3.53
  0.41 
  0.17 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
60.24
59.69
0.91 
226.28  
Notes

Americas Car Hype Timeline

Americas Car-Mart is currently traded for 60.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.41 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.17. Americas is expected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 59.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.91% whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Americas Car is about 541.23% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 60.41. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Americas Car-Mart has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.58. The entity recorded a loss per share of 4.67. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Americas Car had 3:2 split on the 15th of April 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Americas Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Americas Car Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Americas Car's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Americas Car's future price movements. Getting to know how Americas Car rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Americas Car may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MMacys Inc(0.44)8 per month 2.14  0.03  3.72 (3.19) 16.36 
WWayfair 3.27 9 per month 3.22  0.04  9.34 (5.77) 20.42 
DIBS1StdibsCom(0.08)9 per month 2.64  0.1  8.04 (5.79) 17.90 
BQBoqii Holding Limited(0.01)2 per month 0.00 (0.17) 10.34 (10.81) 58.00 
FLFoot Locker(0.35)9 per month 0.00 (0.06) 6.18 (4.77) 39.34 
HDHome Depot 2.96 7 per month 0.71  0.04  2.02 (1.58) 5.22 
JDJD Inc Adr 0.47 7 per month 3.03  0.02  5.86 (4.87) 19.88 
LELands End(0.06)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 5.38 (5.44) 16.45 
LLLL Flooring Holdings 0.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.28) 5.66 (5.73) 16.26 

Americas Car Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Americas price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Americas using various technical indicators. When you analyze Americas charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Americas Car Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Americas Car stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Americas Car Mart, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Americas Car based on analysis of Americas Car hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Americas Car's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Americas Car's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price To Sales Ratio0.460.370.430.41
Price Earnings Ratio5.8125.522.9524.1

Story Coverage note for Americas Car

The number of cover stories for Americas Car depends on current market conditions and Americas Car's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Americas Car is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Americas Car's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Americas Car Short Properties

Americas Car's future price predictability will typically decrease when Americas Car's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Americas Car Mart often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Americas Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments9.8 M
When determining whether Americas Car-Mart is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Americas Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Americas Car Mart Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Americas Car Mart Stock:
Check out Americas Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.

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Is Americas Car's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Americas Car. If investors know Americas will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Americas Car listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.70)
Earnings Share
(4.67)
Revenue Per Share
221.88
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.08)
Return On Assets
0.0098
The market value of Americas Car-Mart is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Americas that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Americas Car's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Americas Car's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Americas Car's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Americas Car's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Americas Car's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Americas Car is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Americas Car's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.