CRWS Crown stock Stock Price Prediction

CRWS -  USA Stock  

USD 7.74  0.06  0.78%

Crown Crafts stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Crown Crafts shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Crown Crafts stock future price could yield a significant profit.
We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Crown Crafts, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Continue to Crown Crafts Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Crown Crafts based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CRWS Crown stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Crown Crafts over a specific investment horizon. Using Crown Crafts hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Crown Crafts from the perspective of Crown Crafts response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Crown Crafts. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Crown Crafts to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CRWS Crown because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Crown Crafts after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 7.74  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crown Crafts' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Crown Crafts in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
7.378.299.21
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
6.617.538.46
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
8.758.758.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.527.828.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Crown Crafts. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Crown Crafts' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Crown Crafts' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Crown Crafts.

Crown Crafts After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Crown Crafts at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Crown Crafts or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Crown Crafts, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Crown Crafts Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Crown Crafts' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Crown Crafts' historical news coverage. Crown Crafts' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.82 and 8.66, respectively. We have considered Crown Crafts' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.74
21st of June 2021
7.74
After-hype Price
8.66
Upside
Crown Crafts is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Crown Crafts is based on 3 months time horizon.

Crown Crafts Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Crown Crafts is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Crown Crafts backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Crown Crafts, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.01  0.92  0.00   0.00  6 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.747.740.00 
4,600  

Crown Crafts Hype Timeline

Crown Crafts is currently traded for 7.74. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. CRWS Crown anticipated not to react to the next headlinewith price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of over 100%. The immediate return on the next newsis anticipated to be very small whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Crown Crafts is about 4181.82%. The volatility of related hype on Crown Crafts is about 4181.82% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 7.74. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Crown Crafts has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.98. The entity next dividend is scheduled to be issued on the 10th of June 2021. The firm had 2:1 split on the 12th of January 1990. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipatedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.
Continue to Crown Crafts Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Crown Crafts Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Crown Crafts' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Crown Crafts' future price movements. Getting to know how Crown Crafts rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Crown Crafts may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Figs Inc Cl 0.05 3 per month 2.49  0.25  13.76 (7.00)  20.76 
Delta Apparel(0.05) 9 per month 2.07  0.0381  4.24 (2.96)  10.57 
Ever Glory Intl(0.04) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0068)  8.17 (8.00)  52.52 
Gildan Activewear 0.89 9 per month 1.32  0.07  3.19 (2.17)  5.67 
Hanesbrands 0.37 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  2.63 (2.70)  16.17 
Kontoor Brands(1.43) 9 per month 2.87  0.041  5.13 (4.74)  11.82 
Canada Goose Holdings 0.16 5 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.60 (3.57)  15.24 
Iconix Brand Group 0.01 9 per month 4.33  0.07  7.87 (9.13)  20.68 
Jerash Holdings 0.07 4 per month 2.08  0.0075  4.50 (2.99)  12.07 
Kbs Fashion Gp(0.25) 2 per month 5.82  0.0326  12.72 (9.93)  46.47 

Crown Crafts Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine CRWS Crown price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CRWS Crown using various technical indicators. When you analyze CRWS Crown charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Crown Crafts Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Crown Crafts stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Crown Crafts, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Crown Crafts based on analysis of Crown Crafts hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Crown Crafts's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Crown Crafts's related companies.
 2010 2012 2018 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share3.63.94.134.33
Asset Turnover1.931.351.281.41

Story Coverage note for Crown Crafts

The number of cover stories for Crown Crafts depends on current market conditions and Crown Crafts' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Crown Crafts is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Crown Crafts' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Latest Perspective on Crown Crafts

Crown Crafts Short Properties

Crown Crafts' future price predictability will typically decrease when Crown Crafts' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Crown Crafts often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Crown Crafts' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Crown Crafts' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.27%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate0.24
Short Percent Of Float0.32%
Float Shares8.86M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day29.96k
Shares Short Prior Month27.87k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month19.55k
Date Short Interest14th of May 2021
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield3.11%
Continue to Crown Crafts Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Crown Crafts information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Crown Crafts' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively-traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

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When running Crown Crafts price analysis, check to measure Crown Crafts' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crown Crafts is operating at the current time. Most of Crown Crafts' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crown Crafts' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crown Crafts' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crown Crafts to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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The market value of Crown Crafts is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CRWS Crown that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Crown Crafts' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Crown Crafts' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Crown Crafts' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Crown Crafts underlying business (such as pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Crown Crafts' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Crown Crafts value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Crown Crafts' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.