Carlisle Companies Incorporated Stock Price Prediction
| CSL Stock | USD 367.41 1.43 0.39% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
67
Oversold | Overbought |
Carlisle Companies stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Carlisle Companies shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Carlisle Companies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Carlisle Companies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Carlisle Companies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Carlisle Companies Incorporated, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Carlisle Companies' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.73 | EPS Estimate Current Year 18.53 | EPS Estimate Next Year 20.9 | Wall Street Target Price 412.89 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Carlisle Companies based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Carlisle stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Carlisle Companies over a specific investment horizon. Using Carlisle Companies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Carlisle Companies Incorporated from the perspective of Carlisle Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Carlisle Companies using Carlisle Companies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Carlisle using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Carlisle Companies' stock price.
Carlisle Companies Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Carlisle Companies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Carlisle. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Carlisle Companies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Carlisle Companies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Carlisle Companies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Carlisle Companies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 299.1985 | Short Percent 0.0172 | Short Ratio 2.11 | Shares Short Prior Month 658.6 K | 50 Day MA 364.7898 |
Carlisle Companies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Carlisle Companies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Carlisle. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Carlisle can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Carlisle Companies Incorporated. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Carlisle Companies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Carlisle Companies.
Carlisle Companies Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Carlisle Companies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Carlisle Companies Incorporated stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Carlisle Companies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Carlisle Companies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Carlisle Companies' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Carlisle Companies. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Carlisle Companies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Carlisle because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Carlisle Companies after-hype prediction price | USD 372.11 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Carlisle contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Carlisle Companies Incorporated will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Carlisle Companies trading at USD 367.41, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Carlisle Companies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Carlisle Companies Incorporated options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Carlisle |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Carlisle Companies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Carlisle Companies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Carlisle Companies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Carlisle Companies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Carlisle Companies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Carlisle Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Carlisle Companies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Carlisle Companies' historical news coverage. Carlisle Companies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 370.50 and 373.72, respectively. We have considered Carlisle Companies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Carlisle Companies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Carlisle Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Carlisle Companies Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Carlisle Companies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Carlisle Companies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Carlisle Companies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 1.61 | 0.43 | 0.07 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
367.41 | 372.11 | 0.13 |
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Carlisle Companies Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 Carlisle Companies is traded for 367.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.43, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Carlisle is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 372.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 109.52%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Carlisle Companies is about 649.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 367.34. About 91.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.33. Carlisle Companies recorded earning per share (EPS) of 14.22. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of February 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 20th of March 2007. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Carlisle Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Carlisle Companies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Carlisle Companies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Carlisle Companies' future price movements. Getting to know how Carlisle Companies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Carlisle Companies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LII | Lennox International | 4.79 | 10 per month | 1.76 | 0.03 | 2.44 | (3.01) | 6.83 | |
| FBIN | Fortune Brands Innovations | (1.65) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.08 | (3.27) | 8.11 | |
| TT | Trane Technologies plc | (7.46) | 12 per month | 0.61 | 0.16 | 2.10 | (1.28) | 9.21 | |
| JCI | Johnson Controls International | 0.29 | 10 per month | 1.70 | 0.09 | 2.14 | (2.04) | 7.31 | |
| MAS | Masco | 0.28 | 11 per month | 1.24 | 0.05 | 2.56 | (2.24) | 7.66 | |
| NX | Quanex Building Products | 0.90 | 8 per month | 1.79 | 0.08 | 2.79 | (2.93) | 8.55 | |
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | 0.42 | 10 per month | 2.61 | (0.02) | 3.87 | (3.95) | 10.95 | |
| CARR | Carrier GlobalCorp | 0.28 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.42 | (3.28) | 6.45 | |
| AAON | AAON Inc | (0.08) | 8 per month | 1.82 | 0.13 | 3.89 | (3.08) | 8.79 |
Carlisle Companies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Carlisle price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Carlisle using various technical indicators. When you analyze Carlisle charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Carlisle Companies Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Carlisle Companies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Carlisle Companies Incorporated, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Carlisle Companies based on analysis of Carlisle Companies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Carlisle Companies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Carlisle Companies's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.008636 | 0.011 | 0.0103 | 0.0191 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.71 | 1.85 | 3.4 | 3.57 |
Story Coverage note for Carlisle Companies
The number of cover stories for Carlisle Companies depends on current market conditions and Carlisle Companies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Carlisle Companies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Carlisle Companies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Carlisle Companies Short Properties
Carlisle Companies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Carlisle Companies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Carlisle Companies Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Carlisle Companies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlisle Companies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 576.7 M |
Check out Carlisle Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Complementary Tools for Carlisle Stock analysis
When running Carlisle Companies' price analysis, check to measure Carlisle Companies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Carlisle Companies is operating at the current time. Most of Carlisle Companies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Carlisle Companies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Carlisle Companies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Carlisle Companies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Carlisle Companies' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlisle Companies. If investors know Carlisle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carlisle Companies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.245 | Dividend Share 3.2 | Earnings Share 14.22 | Revenue Per Share 91.922 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Carlisle Companies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carlisle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carlisle Companies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carlisle Companies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carlisle Companies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carlisle Companies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carlisle Companies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carlisle Companies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carlisle Companies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.