Castor Stock Future Price Prediction

CTRM -  USA Stock  

USD 1.93  0.09  4.46%

Castor Maritime stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Castor Maritime shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Castor Maritime's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Castor Maritime and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Castor Maritime's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Castor Maritime, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Castor Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
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It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Castor Maritime based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Castor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Castor Maritime over a specific investment horizon. Using Castor Maritime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Castor Maritime from the perspective of Castor Maritime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Castor Maritime using Castor Maritime's options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Castor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Castor Maritime's stock price.
Castor Maritime Earnings per Diluted Share are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Earnings per Diluted Share is estimated at 0.58. Return on Average Equity is expected to hike to 0.15 this year, although the value of EBITDA Margin will most likely fall to 0.45.

Castor Maritime Implied Volatility

    
  109.05  
Castor Maritime's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Castor Maritime stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Castor Maritime's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Castor Maritime stock will not fluctuate a lot when Castor Maritime's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Castor Maritime. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Castor Maritime to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Castor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Castor Maritime after-hype prediction price

    
  $ 1.95  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Castor Maritime's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Castor Maritime in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
0.101.967.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
0.0433972.177.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.761.932.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Castor Maritime. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Castor Maritime's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Castor Maritime's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Castor Maritime.

Castor Maritime After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Castor Maritime at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Castor Maritime or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Castor Maritime, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Castor Maritime Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Castor Maritime's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Castor Maritime's historical news coverage. Castor Maritime's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 7.50, respectively. We have considered Castor Maritime's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 1.93
1.95
After-hype Price
7.50
Upside
Castor Maritime is dangerous asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Castor Maritime is based on 3 months time horizon.

Castor Maritime Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Castor Maritime is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Castor Maritime backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Castor Maritime, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.43  5.55  0.02   0.20  4 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.931.951.04 
11,100  

Castor Maritime Hype Timeline

Castor Maritime is currently traded for 1.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. Castor is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price projected to jump to 1.95 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is over 100%. The price surge on the next news is forecasted to be 1.04% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Castor Maritime is about 1206.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.13. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 76.42 M. Net Income was 22.29 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 4.59 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projectedpress releasewill be in about 4 days.
Continue to Castor Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Castor Maritime Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Castor Maritime's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Castor Maritime's future price movements. Getting to know how Castor Maritime rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Castor Maritime may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
INSWInternational Seaways 0.46 6 per month 2.97  0.24  6.30 (4.64)  20.00 

Castor Maritime Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Castor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Castor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Castor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Castor Maritime Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Castor Maritime stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Castor Maritime, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Castor Maritime based on analysis of Castor Maritime hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Castor Maritime's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Castor Maritime's related companies.
 2018 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Book Value per Share49.67.734.094.19
Asset Turnover0.340.20.360.33

Story Coverage note for Castor Maritime

The number of cover stories for Castor Maritime depends on current market conditions and Castor Maritime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Castor Maritime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Castor Maritime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Castor Maritime Short Properties

Castor Maritime's future price predictability will typically decrease when Castor Maritime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Castor Maritime often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Castor Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Castor Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out3.15%
Short Percent Of Float3.15%
Float Shares94.5M
Shares Short Prior Month2.51M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day1.69M
Average Daily Volume In Three Month2.3M
Date Short Interest15th of December 2021
Continue to Castor Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Castor Maritime information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Castor Maritime's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try ETF Directory module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.

Complementary Tools for Castor Stock analysis

When running Castor Maritime price analysis, check to measure Castor Maritime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Castor Maritime is operating at the current time. Most of Castor Maritime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Castor Maritime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Castor Maritime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Castor Maritime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Castor Maritime's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castor Maritime. If investors know Castor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Castor Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Castor Maritime is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castor Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castor Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Castor Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castor Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Castor Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Castor Maritime value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castor Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.