Castor Maritime Stock Price Prediction
| CTRM Stock | USD 3.28 0.02 0.61% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
36
Oversold | Overbought |
Castor Maritime stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Castor Maritime shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Castor Maritime's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Castor Maritime and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Castor Maritime's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Castor Maritime, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Castor Maritime's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Castor Maritime based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Castor stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Castor Maritime over a specific investment horizon. Using Castor Maritime hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Castor Maritime from the perspective of Castor Maritime response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Castor Maritime using Castor Maritime's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Castor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Castor Maritime's stock price.
Castor Maritime Implied Volatility | 144.7 |
Castor Maritime's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Castor Maritime stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Castor Maritime's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Castor Maritime stock will not fluctuate a lot when Castor Maritime's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Castor Maritime. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Castor Maritime to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Castor because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Castor Maritime after-hype prediction price | USD 4.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Castor |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Castor Maritime's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Castor Maritime After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Castor Maritime at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Castor Maritime or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Castor Maritime, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Castor Maritime Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Castor Maritime's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Castor Maritime's historical news coverage. Castor Maritime's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.76 and 7.96, respectively. We have considered Castor Maritime's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Castor Maritime is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Castor Maritime is based on 3 months time horizon.
Castor Maritime Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Castor Maritime is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Castor Maritime backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Castor Maritime, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.69 | 3.11 | 2.50 | 0.26 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.28 | 4.74 | 44.45 |
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Castor Maritime Hype Timeline
Castor Maritime is currently traded for 3.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.5, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.26. Castor is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.7379999999999995 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 85.91%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 44.45%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.69%. The volatility of related hype on Castor Maritime is about 813.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.54. The company currently holds 132.94 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.32, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Castor Maritime has a current ratio of 3.6, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Castor Maritime until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Castor Maritime's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Castor Maritime sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Castor to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Castor Maritime's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Castor Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Castor Maritime Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Castor Maritime's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Castor Maritime's future price movements. Getting to know how Castor Maritime's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Castor Maritime may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GSL | Global Ship Lease | 0.34 | 11 per month | 2.00 | 0.02 | 2.67 | (2.21) | 12.71 | |
| NMM | Navios Maritime Partners | 1.01 | 10 per month | 1.19 | 0.18 | 5.22 | (1.81) | 18.70 | |
| USEA | United Maritime | (0.10) | 5 per month | 2.26 | (0.01) | 3.83 | (2.95) | 13.58 | |
| TOPS | Top Ships | 0.28 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.86 | (3.71) | 9.45 |
Castor Maritime Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Castor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Castor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Castor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Castor Maritime Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Castor Maritime stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Castor Maritime, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Castor Maritime based on analysis of Castor Maritime hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Castor Maritime's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Castor Maritime's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 2.06 | 0.0118 | 0.0135 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.36 | 0.16 | 0.42 |
Story Coverage note for Castor Maritime
The number of cover stories for Castor Maritime depends on current market conditions and Castor Maritime's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Castor Maritime is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Castor Maritime's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Castor Maritime Short Properties
Castor Maritime's future price predictability will typically decrease when Castor Maritime's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Castor Maritime often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Castor Maritime's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Castor Maritime's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 22 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 113.7 M |
Check out Castor Maritime Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Castor Stock, please use our How to Invest in Castor Maritime guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Castor Stock analysis
When running Castor Maritime's price analysis, check to measure Castor Maritime's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Castor Maritime is operating at the current time. Most of Castor Maritime's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Castor Maritime's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Castor Maritime's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Castor Maritime to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Castor Maritime's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Castor Maritime. If investors know Castor will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Castor Maritime listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.69) | Earnings Share 1 | Revenue Per Share 10.189 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.16) | Return On Assets 0.0158 |
The market value of Castor Maritime is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Castor that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Castor Maritime's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Castor Maritime's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Castor Maritime's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Castor Maritime's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Castor Maritime's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Castor Maritime is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Castor Maritime's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.