Chevron Corp Stock Price Prediction

CVX Stock  USD 155.59  0.33  0.21%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Chevron Corp's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Chevron Corp, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Chevron Corp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Chevron Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Chevron Corp's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
3.37
EPS Estimate Current Year
12.74
EPS Estimate Next Year
14.11
Wall Street Target Price
183.36
Using Chevron Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Chevron Corp from the perspective of Chevron Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Chevron Corp using Chevron Corp's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Chevron using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Chevron Corp's stock price.

Chevron Corp Short Interest

An investor who is long Chevron Corp may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Chevron Corp and may potentially protect profits, hedge Chevron Corp with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
154.3394
Short Percent
0.0287
Short Ratio
8.1
Shares Short Prior Month
51.1 M
50 Day MA
158.1162

Chevron Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Chevron Corp's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Chevron. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Chevron can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Chevron Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Chevron Corp's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Chevron Corp.

Chevron Corp Implied Volatility

    
  26.3  
Chevron Corp's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Chevron Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Chevron Corp's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Chevron Corp stock will not fluctuate a lot when Chevron Corp's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Chevron Corp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Chevron because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Chevron Corp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 155.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Chevron contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Chevron Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.64% per day over the life of the 2024-07-12 option contract. With Chevron Corp trading at USD 155.59, that is roughly USD 2.56 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Chevron Corp's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Chevron Corp options at the current volatility level of 26.3%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Chevron Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Chevron Stock please use our How to Invest in Chevron Corp guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chevron Corp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
139.73156.94158.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
152.53153.62154.71
Details
23 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
162.13178.17197.77
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.973.133.67
Details

Chevron Corp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Chevron Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Chevron Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Chevron Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Chevron Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Chevron Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Chevron Corp's historical news coverage. Chevron Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 154.17 and 156.35, respectively. We have considered Chevron Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
155.59
154.17
Downside
155.26
After-hype Price
156.35
Upside
Chevron Corp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Chevron Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Chevron Corp Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Chevron Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Chevron Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Chevron Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
1.09
 0.00  
 0.00  
7 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
155.59
155.26
0.00 
48.66  
Notes

Chevron Corp Hype Timeline

On the 12th of July 2024 Chevron Corp is traded for 155.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Chevron is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 48.66%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Chevron Corp is about 94.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 155.59. About 67.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.82. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Chevron Corp recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.87. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of May 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 13th of September 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Chevron Corp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Chevron Stock please use our How to Invest in Chevron Corp guide.

Chevron Corp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Chevron Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Chevron Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Chevron Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Chevron Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
XPOFXponential Fitness(0.16)7 per month 6.35  0.05  7.52 (6.04) 40.74 
FTLFFitLife Brands Common(0.47)6 per month 3.25  0.05  6.15 (6.31) 29.79 
LIDRAeye Inc 1.40 9 per month 6.87  0.09  24.73 (14.15) 138.75 
GFFGriffon 1.27 11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.96 (4.01) 12.52 
GFIGold Fields Ltd 0.11 8 per month 0.00 (0.03) 3.79 (5.61) 20.04 
KNFKnife River 0.19 7 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.92 (3.13) 8.13 
COKECoca Cola Consolidated(11.91)12 per month 1.50  0.14  2.30 (2.40) 24.04 
VSGAXVanguard Small Cap Growth(0.83)2 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.57 (1.87) 3.95 
CNLFFCanlan Ice Sports 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.30) 0.00  0.00  0.68 

Chevron Corp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Chevron price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Chevron using various technical indicators. When you analyze Chevron charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Chevron Corp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Chevron Corp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Chevron Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Chevron Corp based on analysis of Chevron Corp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Chevron Corp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Chevron Corp's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.04530.03160.04060.0296
Price To Sales Ratio1.441.471.390.9

Story Coverage note for Chevron Corp

The number of cover stories for Chevron Corp depends on current market conditions and Chevron Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Chevron Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Chevron Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Chevron Corp Short Properties

Chevron Corp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Chevron Corp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Chevron Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Chevron Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Chevron Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments8.5 B

Additional Tools for Chevron Stock Analysis

When running Chevron Corp's price analysis, check to measure Chevron Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chevron Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Chevron Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chevron Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chevron Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chevron Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.