Cyberark Software Stock Price Prediction
| CYBR Stock | USD 234.66 0.95 0.41% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
CyberArk Software stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of CyberArk Software shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of CyberArk Software's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of CyberArk Software and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from CyberArk Software's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with CyberArk Software, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting CyberArk Software's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.24 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.76 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.32 | Wall Street Target Price 298.96 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of CyberArk Software based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The CyberArk stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on CyberArk Software over a specific investment horizon. Using CyberArk Software hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CyberArk Software from the perspective of CyberArk Software response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CyberArk Software using CyberArk Software's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CyberArk using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CyberArk Software's stock price.
CyberArk Software Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in CyberArk Software's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards CyberArk. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of CyberArk Software stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long CyberArk Software may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CyberArk Software and may potentially protect profits, hedge CyberArk Software with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 201.8174 | Short Percent 0.0424 | Short Ratio 3.7 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 258.683 |
CyberArk Software Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CyberArk Software's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CyberArk. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CyberArk can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CyberArk Software. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CyberArk Software's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CyberArk Software.
CyberArk Software Implied Volatility | 54.91 |
CyberArk Software's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CyberArk Software stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CyberArk Software's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CyberArk Software stock will not fluctuate a lot when CyberArk Software's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in CyberArk Software. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in CyberArk Software to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying CyberArk because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
CyberArk Software after-hype prediction price | USD 234.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CyberArk contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CyberArk Software will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.43% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With CyberArk Software trading at USD 234.66, that is roughly USD 8.05 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CyberArk Software's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CyberArk Software options at the current volatility level of 54.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
CyberArk |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CyberArk Software's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CyberArk Software After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CyberArk Software at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CyberArk Software or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CyberArk Software, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CyberArk Software Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CyberArk Software's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CyberArk Software's historical news coverage. CyberArk Software's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 232.61 and 236.73, respectively. We have considered CyberArk Software's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CyberArk Software is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CyberArk Software is based on 3 months time horizon.
CyberArk Software Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CyberArk Software is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CyberArk Software backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CyberArk Software, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 2.06 | 0.01 | 0.14 | 9 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
234.66 | 234.67 | 0.00 |
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CyberArk Software Hype Timeline
CyberArk Software is currently traded for 234.66. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.14. CyberArk is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on CyberArk Software is about 56.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 234.52. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded a loss per share of 1.59. CyberArk Software had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out CyberArk Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.CyberArk Software Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CyberArk Software's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CyberArk Software's future price movements. Getting to know how CyberArk Software's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CyberArk Software may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SQ | Block Inc | 0.81 | 9 per month | 3.46 | 0.03 | 4.91 | (5.48) | 22.30 | |
| ADBE | Adobe Systems Incorporated | (6.92) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.95 | (3.70) | 17.01 | |
| CRWD | Crowdstrike Holdings | (10.53) | 8 per month | 2.53 | (0) | 3.76 | (3.90) | 14.87 | |
| NET | Cloudflare | (1.27) | 12 per month | 2.28 | 0.03 | 4.61 | (3.65) | 24.93 | |
| OKTA | Okta Inc | (0.19) | 9 per month | 1.82 | 0.04 | 3.74 | (2.96) | 27.01 |
CyberArk Software Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CyberArk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CyberArk using various technical indicators. When you analyze CyberArk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About CyberArk Software Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of CyberArk Software stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as CyberArk Software, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of CyberArk Software based on analysis of CyberArk Software hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to CyberArk Software's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to CyberArk Software's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 82.16 | 74.53 | 90.52 | 54.05 | PTB Ratio | 9.46 | 7.76 | 11.52 | 10.2 |
Story Coverage note for CyberArk Software
The number of cover stories for CyberArk Software depends on current market conditions and CyberArk Software's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CyberArk Software is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CyberArk Software's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CyberArk Software Short Properties
CyberArk Software's future price predictability will typically decrease when CyberArk Software's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CyberArk Software often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CyberArk Software's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CyberArk Software's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 41.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 993.4 M |
Check out CyberArk Software Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in CyberArk Stock, please use our How to Invest in CyberArk Software guide.Note that the CyberArk Software information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other CyberArk Software's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for CyberArk Stock analysis
When running CyberArk Software's price analysis, check to measure CyberArk Software's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CyberArk Software is operating at the current time. Most of CyberArk Software's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CyberArk Software's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CyberArk Software's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CyberArk Software to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is CyberArk Software's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of CyberArk Software. If investors know CyberArk will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about CyberArk Software listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share (1.59) | Revenue Per Share 18.049 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.319 | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of CyberArk Software is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of CyberArk that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of CyberArk Software's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is CyberArk Software's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because CyberArk Software's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect CyberArk Software's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between CyberArk Software's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if CyberArk Software is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, CyberArk Software's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.