Denbury Stock Future Price Prediction

DEN
 Stock
  

USD 88.97  0.79  0.88%   

Denbury Resources stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Denbury Resources shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Denbury Resources' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Denbury Resources and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Denbury Resources' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Denbury Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to Denbury Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
  
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Denbury Resources based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Denbury stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Denbury Resources over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.09
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.85
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.27
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.51
Wall Street Target Price
107.25
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.9
Using Denbury Resources hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Denbury Resources from the perspective of Denbury Resources response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Denbury Resources using Denbury Resources' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Denbury using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Denbury Resources' stock price.
Denbury Resources Cash and Equivalents Turnover is quite stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Cash and Equivalents Turnover is estimated at 648.12. Return on Investment is expected to rise to 5.57 this year, although the value of Receivables Turnover will most likely fall to 7.73.

Denbury Resources Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Denbury Resources' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Denbury. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Denbury Resources stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Denbury Resources may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Denbury Resources and may potentially protect profits, hedge Denbury Resources with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
77.8
Short Percent
0.11
Short Ratio
7.07
Shares Short Prior Month
5.5 M
50 Day MA
90.96
Shares Short
4.8 M

Denbury Resources Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Denbury Resources' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Denbury. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Denbury can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Denbury Resources. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Denbury Resources' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Denbury Resources.

Denbury Resources Implied Volatility

    
  40.88  
Denbury Resources' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Denbury Resources stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Denbury Resources' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Denbury Resources stock will not fluctuate a lot when Denbury Resources' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Denbury Resources. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Denbury Resources to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Denbury because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Denbury Resources after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 90.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Denbury contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Denbury Resources will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.56% per day over the life of the 2022-12-16 option contract. With Denbury Resources trading at USD88.97, that is roughly USD2.27. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Denbury Resources' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Denbury Resources options at the current volatility level of 40.88%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Denbury Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Denbury Resources in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
80.7893.2596.07
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
78.7597.97117.00
Details
Earnings
Estimates (4)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.422.562.84
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Denbury Resources. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Denbury Resources' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Denbury Resources' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Denbury Resources.

Denbury Resources After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Denbury Resources at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Denbury Resources or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Denbury Resources, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Denbury Resources Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Denbury Resources' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Denbury Resources' historical news coverage. Denbury Resources' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 87.41 and 93.05, respectively. We have considered Denbury Resources' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 88.97
90.23
After-hype Price
93.05
Upside
Denbury Resources is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Denbury Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

Denbury Resources Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Denbury Resources is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Denbury Resources backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Denbury Resources, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.08  2.80  0.47   0.00  3 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
88.9790.230.52 
47.86  

Denbury Resources Hype Timeline

On the 1st of December Denbury Resources is traded for 88.97. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.47 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Denbury is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline with the price projected to jump to 90.23 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 47.86%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.52% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Denbury Resources is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 88.97. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.24 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 56 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 761.09 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Continue to Denbury Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Denbury Resources Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Denbury Resources' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Denbury Resources' future price movements. Getting to know how Denbury Resources rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Denbury Resources may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Denbury Resources Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Denbury price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Denbury using various technical indicators. When you analyze Denbury charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Denbury Resources Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Denbury Resources stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Denbury Resources, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Denbury Resources based on analysis of Denbury Resources hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Denbury Resources's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Denbury Resources's related companies.
 2019 2020 2021 2022 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity1.580.06640.03080.0316
Interest Coverage4.9414.6913.2214.26

Story Coverage note for Denbury Resources

The number of cover stories for Denbury Resources depends on current market conditions and Denbury Resources' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Denbury Resources is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Denbury Resources' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Denbury Resources Short Properties

Denbury Resources' future price predictability will typically decrease when Denbury Resources' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Denbury Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Denbury Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Denbury Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding53818000.00
Cash And Short Term Investments3671000.00
Continue to Denbury Resources Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Denbury Resources information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Denbury Resources' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.

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When running Denbury Resources price analysis, check to measure Denbury Resources' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Denbury Resources is operating at the current time. Most of Denbury Resources' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Denbury Resources' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Denbury Resources' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Denbury Resources to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Denbury Resources' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Denbury Resources. If investors know Denbury will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Denbury Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
2.09
Market Capitalization
4.5 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
0.28
Return On Assets
0.18
Return On Equity
0.43
The market value of Denbury Resources is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Denbury that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Denbury Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Denbury Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Denbury Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Denbury Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Denbury Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Denbury Resources value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Denbury Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.