DR Horton Stock Future Price Prediction

DHI Stock  USD 99.90  1.21  1.23%   
DR Horton stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of DR Horton shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of DR Horton's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of DR Horton and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from DR Horton's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DR Horton, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Continue to DR Horton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of DR Horton based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The DR Horton stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on DR Horton over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
Using DR Horton hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DR Horton from the perspective of DR Horton response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DR Horton using DR Horton's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DR Horton using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DR Horton's stock price.
DR Horton Calculated Tax Rate is most likely to increase significantly in the upcoming years. The last year's value of Calculated Tax Rate was reported at 20.46. The current PPandE Turnover is estimated to increase to 75.22, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 85.07.

DR Horton Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in DR Horton's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards DR Horton. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of DR Horton stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long DR Horton may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about DR Horton and may potentially protect profits, hedge DR Horton with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
14.1 M
50 Day MA

DR Horton Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to DR Horton's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in DR Horton. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DR Horton can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DR Horton. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DR Horton's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DR Horton.

DR Horton Implied Volatility

DR Horton's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DR Horton stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DR Horton's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DR Horton stock will not fluctuate a lot when DR Horton's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in DR Horton. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in DR Horton to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying DR Horton because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

DR Horton after-hype prediction price

  USD 99.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DR Horton contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DR Horton will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.01% per day over the life of the 2023-02-03 option contract. With DR Horton trading at USD99.9, that is roughly USD3.01. If you think that the market is fully incorporating DR Horton's daily price movement you should consider acquiring DR Horton options at the current volatility level of 48.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of DR Horton's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of DR Horton in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
14 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as DR Horton. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against DR Horton's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, DR Horton's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in DR Horton.

DR Horton After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of DR Horton at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DR Horton or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DR Horton, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

DR Horton Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting DR Horton's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DR Horton's historical news coverage. DR Horton's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 97.67 and 102.05, respectively. We have considered DR Horton's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 99.90
After-hype Price
DR Horton is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DR Horton is based on 3 months time horizon.

DR Horton Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as DR Horton is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DR Horton backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DR Horton, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.50  2.19   0.03   0.78  5 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

DR Horton Hype Timeline

On the 2nd of February DR Horton is traded for 99.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.78. DR Horton is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 99.86. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next newsis expected to be -0.04% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.5%. The volatility of related hype on DR Horton is about 140.38% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 100.68. About 12.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.55. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DR Horton has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.85. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 16.1. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of February 2023. DR Horton had 4:3 split on the 17th of March 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days.
Continue to DR Horton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

DR Horton Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to DR Horton's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DR Horton's future price movements. Getting to know how DR Horton rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DR Horton may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

DR Horton Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine DR Horton price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DR Horton using various technical indicators. When you analyze DR Horton charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About DR Horton Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of DR Horton stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as DR Horton, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of DR Horton based on analysis of DR Horton hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to DR Horton's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to DR Horton's related companies.
 2021 2023 (projected)
Long Term Debt to Equity0.310.5
Interest Coverage996.78967.93

Story Coverage note for DR Horton

The number of cover stories for DR Horton depends on current market conditions and DR Horton's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DR Horton is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DR Horton's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

DR Horton Short Properties

DR Horton's future price predictability will typically decrease when DR Horton's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DR Horton often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DR Horton's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DR Horton's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding365.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.5 B
Continue to DR Horton Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the DR Horton information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other DR Horton's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.

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Is DR Horton's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DR Horton. If investors know DR Horton will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DR Horton listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
Market Capitalization
33.9 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of DR Horton is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DR Horton that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DR Horton's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DR Horton's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DR Horton's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DR Horton's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DR Horton's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine DR Horton value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DR Horton's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.